Following the US Federal Reserve’s decision to hike its interest rate by 50-basis points, the US dollar index (DXY) sharply declined, breaking its recent support at 103.00.
In the days and weeks leading up to the decision, the USD dollar has been on a tear against its major partners, helping the dollar index reach 20-year highs, just below the 104.00 level.
The Fed’s May rate hike is the largest it has implemented in 22 years and its second consecutive rate hike, bringing its rate to 1.00%. At the same time, Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated that the chance for a 75-basis points hike is unlikely for the June’s meeting, which may have dampened enthusiasm for the USD. However, the long-term uptrend could still be intact.
As it stands, the US dollar index is at 102.50. Some of the pairs causing the largest dent to the index is the AUDUSD (up by 2.2%), the NZDUSD (up by 1.7%), and the GBPUSD (up by 1.0%).

Chart

Figure 1. DXY D1

In the gold market, the direction has been more positive.
XAUUSD has bounced back after the news of the US Federal Reserve’s decision. However, the trader-favourite commodity has found resistance at $1,890. It may be safe to call the $1,900 level a bridge too far for gold this week, as the hawkishness of the Fed in subsequent meetings is being called into question and the retreat of bond yields provides only limited upside for gold. 
In upcoming news, the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report is due at the end of this week. The NFP report, combined with some residual turbulence from the Fed’s rate decision, could cause a stirring in gold. 
A short-term outcome for XAUUSD maybe a consolidation between the $1,890 and $1,880.

Figure 2. XAUUSD H1

Risk Warning: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and, therefore, you should not invest money you cannot afford to lose. You should make yourself aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading and seek advice from an independent financial adviser if you have any questions or concerns as to how a loss would affect your lifestyle.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD keeps the red below 0.6400 as Middle East war fears mount

AUD/USD keeps the red below 0.6400 as Middle East war fears mount

AUD/USD is keeping heavy losses below 0.6400, as risk-aversion persists following the news that Israel retaliated with missile strikes on a site in Iran. Fears of the Israel-Iran strife translating into a wider regional conflict are weighing on the higher-yielding Aussie Dollar. 

AUD/USD News

USD/JPY recovers above 154.00 despite Israel-Iran escalation

USD/JPY recovers above 154.00 despite Israel-Iran escalation

USD/JPY is recovering ground above 154.00 after falling hard on confirmation of reports of an Israeli missile strike on Iran, implying that an open conflict is underway and could only spread into a wider Middle East war. Safe-haven Japanese Yen jumped, helped by BoJ Governor Ueda's comments. 

USD/JPY News

Gold price pares gains below $2,400, geopolitical risks lend support

Gold price pares gains below $2,400, geopolitical risks lend support

Gold price is paring gains to trade back below  $2,400 early Friday, Iran's downplaying of Israel's attack has paused the Gold price rally but the upside remains supported amid mounting fears over a potential wider Middle East regional conflict. 

Gold News

WTI surges to $85.00 amid Israel-Iran tensions

WTI surges to $85.00 amid Israel-Iran tensions

Western Texas Intermediate, the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $85.00 on Friday. The black gold gains traction on the day amid the escalating tension between Israel and Iran after a US official confirmed that Israeli missiles had hit a site in Iran.

Oil News

Dogwifhat price pumps 5% ahead of possible Coinbase effect

Dogwifhat price pumps 5% ahead of possible Coinbase effect

Dogwifhat price recorded an uptick on Thursday, going as far as to outperform its peers in the meme coins space. Second only to Bonk Inu, WIF token’s show of strength was not just influenced by Bitcoin price reclaiming above $63,000.

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures