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US 100 cash index faces steep uptrend line after rejection at 21,450

  • US 100 cash index remains in positive territory.

  • But MACD and stochastic head lower.

Chart

The US 100 cash index is once again retreating from the critical 21,450 resistance level, currently testing the steep short-term ascending trend line. A daily close above this line would likely reinvigorate bullish momentum, opening the door for a retest of the 21,805 recent high, with scope for an extension toward the all-time peak at 22,236.

Conversely, a decisive break below the rising trend line would neutralize the near-term bullish bias, exposing the index to downside risks. Initial support lies at the recent low of 20,700, followed by the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 20,430, and the broader support zone between 20,165 and 20,300.

From a technical standpoint, momentum indicators are showing signs of weakening. The MACD remains in positive territory but has slipped below its signal line, indicating a potential loss of upward momentum. Meanwhile, the stochastic oscillator is trending lower after exiting overbought conditions, reinforcing the short-term corrective tone.

The US 100 index has maintained a strong bullish structure since April 7 on the daily chart. However, a sustained move below the 19,000 psychological level would mark a shift toward a more cautious, slightly bearish near-term outlook.

Author

Melina Deltas, CFTe

Melina joined XM in December 2017 as an Investment Analyst in the Research department. She can clearly communicate market action, particularly technical and chart pattern setups.

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