|

Trump Threatens Iraq's Oil Accounts if Troops Told to Leave

The Trump administration threatens Iraq's New York Fed account where its international oil sale revenue is kept.

In his latest act of international belligerency, Trump Warns Iraq It Risks Losing Access to Key Bank Account if Troops Told to Leave.

The State Department warned that the U.S. could shut down Iraq’s access to the country’s central bank account held at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, a move that could jolt Iraq’s already shaky economy, the officials said.

Iraq, like other countries, maintains government accounts at the New York Fed as an important part of managing the country’s finances, including revenue from oil sales. Loss of access to the accounts could restrict Iraq’s use of that revenue, creating a cash crunch in Iraq’s financial system and constricting a critical lubricant for the economy.

The prospect of U.S. sanctions against Iraq arose after the Jan. 3 U.S. airstrike that killed Iranian Maj. Gen. Qassem Soleimani at Baghdad International Airport. The Iraqi parliament voted Sunday to urge Prime Minister Adel Abdul-Mahdi to work toward the expulsion of the approximately 5,300 U.S. troops.

The New York Fed doesn’t publicly disclose how much money it currently holds for Iraq’s central bank. But according to the Central Bank of Iraq’s most recent financial statement, at the end of 2018, the Fed held nearly $3 billion in overnight deposits.

Restricting Iraqi access to dollars could cause the dinar’s value to fall, as it did in 2015, which could again trigger a dash for dollars in Iraq as people, companies and banks try to secure hard cash. Such a devaluation could cause broader economic woes as it cuts spending power for workers, companies and the government.

How to Make Enemies Everywhere

Trump sure knows how to do one thing: make enemies everywhere.

If he follows through on the threat, Iraq will lose access to its New York Fed account where international oil sale revenue is kept.

This would cause a devastating cash crunch in Iraq.

Message of the Day

In case you missed it, here's Trump's message for Iraq.

It may be your oil, but you can't have it unless we say so.

Non-Dollar Mechanism Desperately Needed

Trump's repeated sanctions and illegal occupations prove once again why Europe desperately needs euro-based accounts to avoid Trump's illegal sanctions.

Trump's Attempt to Blackmail Germany Failed

Recall that Trump Blackmails Germany With Sanction Threats Over Nord Stream 2

With thanks to Russia, that pipeline will be soon completed.

On December 27 2019, I commented Trump's Russian Gas Sanction Strategy Blows Up Two Ways

Trump wanted the EU to buy more US liquid Natural Gas (LNG). It would have been far more expensive for the EU so they resisted US sanctions. But thanks to now bipartisan US sanctions, Russian contractors will get the money for completing the pipleline.

And the sanctions that Trump wanted, just might drive the EU to come up with a workable way around US sanctions.

Trump Sets Sanction Policy for the World

On June 26, 2018, I commented Economic War on Iran: Trump Sets Sanction Policy for Entire World

Trump will grant no waivers on purchases of Iranian oil. Effectively, this is an economic declaration of war on Iran.

Effectively, Trump sets sanction policy for the whole world, by proclamation.

EU Rebukes Trump

Since then, the EU has been working on a mechanism to avoid these sanctions, to no avail.

On September 25, 2018, I noted EU Rebukes Trump, Will Create "Special Vehicle" to Bypass US Sanctions on Iran

And Bloomberg writer Leonid Bershidsky says Europe Finally Has an Excuse to Challenge the Dollar

The EU did create a mechanism to avoid SWIFT and dollar-based transactions, but it was flawed and remains unused.

Trump Should Sanction Himself

Until the EU gets its act together, the US will get to set sanction policy for the world.

Earlier this week Trump imposed new sanctions on Iran, targeting 8 officials involved in 'destabilizing activities'.

If Trump wanted to sanction the person most responsible for 'destabilizing activities', he would sanction himself.

I will cheer the day when the world is finally tired enough of Trump to act.

Five Key Ideas

  • Trump sure knows how to do one thing: make enemies everywhere.

  • It may be your oil, but you can't have it unless we say so.

  • Europe desperately needs euro-based accounts to avoid Trump's illegal sanctions.

  • If Trump wanted to sanction the person most responsible for 'destabilizing activities', he would sanction himself.

  • Number One Person Afflicted with TDS is Trump.

Author

Mike “Mish” Shedlock's

Mike “Mish” Shedlock's

Sitka Pacific Capital Management,Llc

More from Mike “Mish” Shedlock's
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD gathers strength above 1.1750 as Fed rate cut prospects pressure US Dollar

The EUR/USD pair trades in positive territory around 1.1775 during the early Asian session on Monday. The prospect of a US Federal Reserve rate cut in 2026 weighs on the US Dollar against the Euro. Markets brace for US President Donald Trump to nominate a Fed chair to replace Jerome Powell, whose term ends in May. 

GBP/USD edges lower near 0.7400, eyes Fed rate cut outlook

GBP/USD edges lower after a gap-up open, trading around 0.7410 during the Asian hours on Monday. However, the pair may gain ground as the US Dollar faces challenges, which could be attributed to growing expectations of two more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026.

Gold retreats from record highs, heads toward $4,550

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high at $4,550 earlier in the Asian session on Monday and eases toward $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the New Year break. The US Dollar bearish bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Ethereum Annual Price Forecast: ETH poised for growth in 2026 amid regulatory clarity and institutional adoption

Ethereum lost 12% of its value in 2025, declining from $3,336 at the beginning of the year to $2,930 as of the third week of December, a stark contrast from 2024's 48% gain. But that percentage doesn't do justice to the wild year ETH had in 2025.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.