|

Three reasons why WTI and Brent Crude are flying, forex trading XAU/USD at key fibonacci level [Video]

In today’s Market Outlook, let’s take a look at Forex Trading on USDCAD, Silver, XAGUSD, Gold, XAUUSD, Brent Crude, and WTI Crude Oil.

We can see that the last two days of price action have been quite bullish in the Crude Oil Market.

Why is that?

Youtube preview

Inflamed geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran are raising fears of possible supply disruptions, especially around the Strait of Hormuz, which is a major oil transit route.

There is a build-up of U.S. military assets, and faltering diplomatic progress has affected the perceived risk of conflict.

U.S. crude inventories fell more than expected, tightening the near-term supply backdrop.

We can see from today’s Inventory report that supply was down by 9 million barrels, which contradicts the forecast of an increase of 1.7 million barrels.

If you are new to crude oil trading, WTI is West Texas Intermediate weight crude oil mostly from Texas and other states.

Brent Crude Oil comes from the North Sea between Britain and Norway.

Brent is always more expensive than WTI, mostly because of supply and demand issues based on logistics and the global popularity and ease of transportation of Brent.

We talked about the price of Gold XAUUSD last time, and we see price action at almost exactly $5,000 at the 50% Fibonacci level.

We see support at the 38.2% Fib level, but regardless, we need to see a break above or below.

We are also seeing a flat MACD and an undecided Stochastic Oscillator, so the technicals aren’t really helping us.

For you Fibonacci fans, Silver XAGUSD is looking identical on the technicals, and Fib levels are quite important as well.

Downward pressure on precious metals may come from the USD, which is getting stronger across the board.

The Fed is hinting at an Interest Rate increase, as inflation remains a problem, which will always bolster price action on any currency.

Last time, we looked at the cTrader MACD Histogram.

The MACD Crossover is similar, and it is up to the individual trader to determine which one works for you.

You will note that the red Signal Line is the same on both.

Reversals can be spotted on both with the signal line passing out of the histogram or crossing the MACD Line.

You will also note that the Yellow MACD Line corresponds with the peaks of the MACD Histogram.

So, that leaves the histogram on the MACD Crossover indicator, which reacts much more quickly to bullish and bearish price action.

That’s all for now.

CFDs and FX are leveraged products, and your capital may be at risk.

Author

Brad Alexander

Brad Alexander

FX Large Limited

Brad became fascinated with the Currency Markets from a young age and researched fundamental analysis.

More from Brad Alexander
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD slides below 1.3250 after failing to break through 23.6% Fibo

The GBP/USD pair meets with a fresh supply during the Asian session on Wednesday and moves away from a nearly two-week high around the 1.3275 region, touched the previous day. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3235 zone, down 0.20% for the day, as traders look to speeches from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh for a fresh impetus.

EUR/USD keeps losses near 1.1400 ahead of Eurozone inflation data

EUR/USD keeps the offered tone intact near 1.1400 in early Europe on Wednesday, pressured by receding bets for aggressive tightening by the European Central Bank (ECB). Traders will take more cues from the preliminary reading of the Eurozone's Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices and the US Manufacturing PMI report due later in the day.

Gold sticks to bearish bias below $4,000 amid Fed hike bets and Iran risks

Gold attracts fresh sellers following the previous day's good two-way price swings, and weakens further below the $4,000 psychological mark through the Asian session. This marks the third straight day of a slide and keeps the precious metal closer to its lowest level since November 2025. Moreover, a bullish US Dollar suggests that the path of least resistance for the bullion is to the downside.

Solana: Retail confidence backs SOL testing 50-day EMA breakout near $75

Solana price extends gains, testing the 50-day Exponential Moving Average around $75.00. Although institutional demand for Solana remains weak, stabilizing retail confidence, with rising funding rates and steady Open Interest, supports the mild recovery. The technical outlook for SOL shifts mildly bullish, projecting a potential breakout rally toward the $100 mark.

Kevin Warsh isn't expected to say much in Sintra: That's exactly why markets will listen

Financial markets could find an important catalyst in the enchanting, fairytale-like landscape of  Sintra this week. The European Central Bank Forum will, as it does every year, gather the crème de la crème of central banks. The new boss at the Federal Reserve, who has clearly said that the Fed should stop explaining everything, will need to talk – and traders should listen.

Kevin Warsh isn't expected to say much in Sintra: That's exactly why markets will listen

Financial markets could find an important catalyst in the enchanting, fairytale-like landscape of Sintra this week. The ECB Forum will, as it does every year, gather the crème de la crème of central banks. The new boss at the Fed, who has clearly said that the Fed should stop explaining everything, will need to talk – and traders should listen.