The Week Ahead in FX: EUR/USD, AUD/USD & USD/CAD

Dave Floyd Aspen Trading Group

Good Monday Morning Traders.

While price action on Friday violated a few levels I had noted on Friday AM, the forecast remains intact. See Friday's AM analysis below.

However, let's take a quick look, make some adjustments and see where we go.

Dollar Index (DXY): the thrust higher on Friday took out the 94.88 level which I was using as a 'trigger' level. This means nothing more than an area that gets me to re-evaluate my current view. I have not changed my bearish view on DXY. Prices are now back below that level and poised to move lower. If we can close this week below 94.88 it will be a pretty solid sign that bears are firmly in control.

EUR/USD: minor adjustment to the wave count, now using Friday's low as Wave (2)....next stop is a break above 1.1721 and then towards 1.1813+ in the weeks ahead.

AUD/USD: the set-up seen below from Friday has played out perfectly with .7140 (61.8% retracement) tagging the Wave ii low....a typical price ration for Wave ii completions. No change....higher prices in the forecast.....7230+

USD/CAD: no need to look beyond the chart I posted on Thursday...playing out perfectly. Next stop 1.2937-1.2908

Friday's Morning FX Update

Good day traders.

It has been a solid week for FX markets as the forecast move lower in the Dollar Index (DXY) has provided solid set-ups in EUR/USD, NZD/USD and USD/CAD.

By my count, those 3 set-ups alone offered up 230+ pips to clients if they were in there trading based on the forecasts and charts laid out here all week.

Based on the price action overnight we should be seeing additional trade set-ups into next week. The Dollar Index (DXY) looks to have completed Wave 3 of Wave iii so after a modest rally we should the downtrend resume.

DXY

Assuming this forecast plays out, there are some solid set-ups in EUR/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD and USD/CNH.

EUR/USD

AUD/USD - early stages of a sustained move higher. Consider buying the pull-back noted below in BLUE highlight.

USD/CNH

Stay tuned, but these set-ups are pretty straight-forward and can be used at the client's discretion.

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Author

Dave Floyd

Aspen Trading Group

If he lived anywhere but Central Oregon, where the trails of the Cascades mingle with the warm sunshine and fresh air of the high desert, Dave Floyd would probably be one of those guys who lives and breathes trading and analysis 24/7.

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