|

The Dow Industrials average broke to new highs last year

Highlights:

Market Summary: Markets were closed yesterday in recognition of Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. Can stocks pick up where they left off with further gains this week? Last week, small caps led the way with a gain of 2.81%. Transports followed close behind with a gain of 2.78%. The S&P 500 gained 1.97% and continued to set records.

Market

Economic Calendar: Economic data releases occur tomorrow in the U.S., with the Chicago Fed and Existing Home Sales data. Markit PMI flash reports are due on Friday.

Economic

Transports Breaking Out?: The Dow Industrials average broke to new highs last year, leaving the transportation index in the dust. Transports finally broke above the 2019 highs and important resistance. The index is still below the 2018 high, but the recent move is encouraging. The negative non-confirmation still exists for traditional Dow Theorists, as transports have not broken to new highs to confirm the all-time highs in industrials. Nevertheless, the trend is positive for both indices.

Transports

Corporate Profits vs. S&P 500 Price: The investment landscape today reminds me of the late 1990's through the early 2000's. Take corporate profits for instance. Stock prices have surged, despite a flattening out of profits. In fact, it is amazing how much this relationship has decoupled over the last few years. The rally in stocks is completely disconnected from traditional fundamental underpinnings at this point. Hopefully, profits will surge and play a little catch up to stock prices. We sure don't want the alternative.

Corporate

Job Openings: The domestic economic slowdown that started in late 2018 for the U.S. is starting to show up in employment data. Job openings have tanked on a year-over-year basis, suggesting that pressure is building underneath the labor market.

US
US

Chart of the Day: Trouble brewing in Venture Capital?

Venture

Futures Summary:

Indices

News from Bloomberg:

China coronavirus claims sixth victim as holiday travel heightens infection risks. The death toll from the coronavirus outbreak in China climbed to six as authorities reported a surge in new cases, with fears that hundreds of millions of people traveling for the Lunar New Year holiday will accelerate the infection rate.

Huawei CFO's legal team to contest U.S. extradition in day 2 of Canada hearing. Huawei Chief Financial Officer Meng Wanzhou is set to return to a Vancouver court, where her lawyers will build on their arguments against the U.S. extradition request that they say is based a sanctions violation and not bank fraud.

Trump calls for more overseas investment in U.S. as impeachment trial begins. Thousands of miles from his Washington impeachment trial, President Donald Trump took centre stage at Davos to tout the success of the U.S. economy, while criticizing the U.S. Federal Reserve.

Apple dropped plan for encrypting backups after FBI complained. Apple dropped plans to let iPhone users fully encrypt backups of their devices in the company's iCloud service after the FBI complained that the move would harm investigations, six sources familiar with the matter told Reuters.

U.S. Treasury's Mnuchin says Phase 2 trade deal may not remove all tariffs. The Phase 2 trade deal with China would not necessarily be a "big bang" that removes all existing tariffs, U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin told the Wall Street Journal in an interview.

Author

More from Clint Sorenson, CFA, CMT
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1850 in quiet session

EUR/USD stays defensive but holds 1.1850 amid quiet markets in the European hours on Monday.  The US Dollar is struggling for direction due to thin liquidity conditions as US markets are closed in observance of Presidents' Day holiday. 

GBP/USD flat lines near 1.3650 ahead of UK and US data

GBP/USD kicks off a new week on a subdued note and oscillates in a narrow range near 1.3650 on Monday. The mixed fundamental backdrop warrants some caution for aggressive traders as the market focus now shifts to this week's important data releases from the UK and the US.

Gold corrects lower, tries to stabilize above $5,000

Gold started the week under bearish pressure and declined to the $4,960 area before staging a modest rebound. As trading volumes remain thin with the US financial markets remaining closed on Presidents' Day holiday, XAU/USD looks to stabilize above $5,000 ahead of this week's key data releases.

Bitcoin consolidates as on-chain data show mixed signals

Bitcoin price has consolidated between $65,700 and $72,000 over the past nine days, with no clear directional bias. US-listed spot ETFs recorded a $359.91 million weekly outflow, marking the fourth consecutive week of withdrawals.

The week ahead: Key inflation readings and why the AI trade could be overdone

It is likely to be a quiet start to the week, with US markets closed on Monday for Presidents Day. European markets are higher across the board and gold is clinging to the $5,000 level after the tamer than expected CPI report in the US reduced haven flows to precious metals.

Monero Price Forecast: XMR risks a drop below $300 under mounting bearish pressure

Monero (XMR) starts the week under pressure, recording a 4% decline at press time on Monday after a 7% drop the previous day, putting the $300 support zone in focus.