|

The battle of the Gold whales [Video]

In this week´s Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire reaffirms his year-end gold target and reveals what he sees as a developing paper versus physical battle between trading titans JP Morgan and Jane Street.

The precious metals expert explores how JP Morgan has rotated into SGE-aligned physical metal, while outlining why he believes Jane Street is using short calls to cap the gold price, leaving it exposed to a self-reinforcing short squeeze.

Youtube preview

Timestamps:

  • 00:00 Start
  • 02:52 Stepping back from the noise: the bigger picture
  • 10:46 Charts: gold´s historic decoupling from real yields
  • 17:02 Inside the Commitment of Traders report: what the specs got wrong
  • 25:05 The JP Morgan vs. Jane Street derivatives battle
  • 33:56 Silver´s breakpoint: the level that could trigger a squeeze
  • 40:30 Hong Kong´s gold gateway pulls bullion east
  • 44:05 What the setup means heading into Q4

Author

Samuel Briggs

Samuel Briggs

Kinesis Money

Samuel holds a deep understanding of the precious metals markets, and as an in-house journalist for 1:1 gold and silver-backed monetary system, Kinesis, he is chiefly responsible for updating the community with insights and analys

More from Samuel Briggs
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sits near a one-month top, above 0.7000 amid fresh USD selling

AUD/USD holds above 0.7000 through the Asian session, trading near a one-month high touched earlier this Monday amid renewed US Dollar selling. US bond yields decline further amid a modest pullback in crude oil prices, capping the USD recovery from a three-week low. Moreover, bets for a November RBA rate hike support the Aussie, though upside seems capped ahead of the crucial two-day FOMC meeting, starting Tuesday.

USD/JPY struggles below 157.00 on weak USD; holds above one-month low ahead of Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts fresh sellers during the Asian session on Monday, stalling its recovery from the lowest level since September 18, touched Friday as a further decline in US bond yields weighs on the US Dollar. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen benefits from a more hawkish BoJ, further weighing on the currency pair. The downside, however, seems limited as traders keenly await Fed and BoJ policy meetings later this week.

Gold holds on just above $4,000

Gold clings to daily gains, leaving behind two daily drops in a row and reclaiming the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce and above on Monday. The better tone in the US Dollar and mixed US Treasury yields accompany the precious metal’s uptick, while declining crude oil prices appear to sustain the bounce for now.

Bitcoin stalls around $80,000 as geopolitical tensions dampen risk appetite

Bitcoin hovers around $80,500 on Monday after three straight weeks of correction. Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to push oil prices higher, stoking inflation concerns and dampening risk appetite.

Everyone's bracing for a hawkish central bank week. Here's why the surprise could be dovish

Five of the world's major central banks are preparing to announce monetary policy decisions this week, with investors increasingly anticipating higher interest rates as the global energy shock continues to push inflation above target.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.