Dukascopy Bank Team
Dukascopy Bank SA
EUR/USD: US Non-Farm Employment Change
The range of the US economic reports caused a short-term strengthening of the EUR/USD currency pair, which continued the session at pre-data levels. The European single currency added 25 base points or 0.22% against the US dollar, but quickly returned to the 1.1650 area, where the bearish sentiment was sustained until Monday morning.
The Labour department revealed that the US job growth sped up in October, while the yearly wage growth as well as participation rate fell in the reported period, clouding the outlook of the job market. The report showed that the country’s economy added 261K jobs in the reported period, missing forecasts for a 310K increase. The weak pay growth is likely to hamper inflation to reach 2% target.
USD/CAD: Canadian Employment Change
The Canadian Dollar rose significantly against the US Dollar as the both North American countries released set of reports on Friday. The USD/CAD currency pair tumbled 98 base points or 0.77% to the 1.273, but tried to recover gradually.
Statistics Canada stated that the economy added 35.3K positions in October, mainly due to higher full-time employment, while the jobless rate rose to 6.3% as more people were seeking a job. The results will be closely watched by the Bank of Canada to decide whether to raise key interest rates again. Meanwhile, there was some strengthening in the wage growth, which could contribute to the Bank’s decision to proceed with monetary tightening.
NZD/USD: NZ Inflation Expectations
The Kiwi weakened against the US Dollar after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand diminished its inflation expectations. The NZD/USD currency pair dropped 0.20% or 14 base points to the 0.6894 mark to continue gradual decrease.
The RBNZ quarterly survey showed that inflation growth is likely to remain tepid, adding to expectations for the Central Bank to keep the key interest rate at the record-low level of 1.75%. The Reserve Bank revealed that the country's businesses expect yearly inflation to grow average 1.9% over the next year, compared with a 1.8% growth projection previously. Meanwhile, the Bank’s two-year inflation forecasts fell to 2.0% from 2.1%.
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