|

Strong positive risk sentiment despite Dollar gearing up steam

Important news for the day

  • Thu, 31st, 04:57            JP        BoJ interest rate decision.
  • Thu, 31st, 14:30            US        Core PCE price index.
  • Thu, 31st, 14:30            CA        Gros domestic product.

Fed aftermath

As previously expected Jerome Powell did not cut interest rates. He claims that due to a strong economic development rates don’t need to be cut further for now. Equities initially lost some steam but started to look positive thereafter. The Dollar resumed its strength and looks set to push back to higher levels again. Based on the daily chart the EUR/USD currency pair also broke the 50 -moving average zone, which could be taken as a negative sign. On the other hand the AUDUSD currency pair has started to rise slightly more as compared to other currencies against the Greenback. As the risk sentiment remains solid, prices of Gold and Silver also started to weaken. The bearish turnaround might hence be ongoing.

Market talk

The ongoing tariff story in the US seems to not cause major disruptions in financial markets currently. A stronger than expected gross domestic product of 3.0% instead of the projected 2.5% started to push the Dollar higher after the news came out. The price of the imposed tariffs will seemingly be paid by the US population, while at the same time also ADP employment data suggest strong demand for labour. Donald Trump might still remain furious as Jerome Powell did not cut rates. he should not forget that he himself installed the head of the Federal Reserve Bank back then.

Tendencies in the markets

  • Equities sideways, USD stronger, Bitcoin positive, ETH positive, oil rising, Silver lower, Gold weaker, JPY weak.

Author

Frank Walbaum

Frank Walbaum

FX Strategies.Asia

Frank has been working in the TV business for several years. Acquiring his skills in Germany’s biggest broadcasting station, he then chose to work and live in Asia, which was in 2007.

More from Frank Walbaum
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays defensive below 1.1900 as USD recovers

EUR/USD trades in negative territory for the third consecutive day, below 1.1900 in the European session on Thursday. A modest rebound in the US Dollar is weighing on the pair, despite an upbeat market mood. Traders keep an eye on the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims data for further trading impetus. 

GBP/USD holds above 1.3600 after UK data dump

\GBP/USD moves little while holding above 1.3600 in the European session on Thursday, following the release of the UK Q4 preliminary GDP, which showed a 0.1% growth against a 0.2% increase expected. The UK industrial sector activity deteriorated in Decembert, keeping the downward pressure intact on the Pound Sterling. 

Gold sticks to modest intraday losses as reduced March Fed rate cut bets underpin USD

Gold languishes near the lower end of its daily range heading into the European session on Thursday. The precious metal, however, lacks follow-through selling amid mixed cues and currently trades above the $5,050 level, well within striking distance of a nearly two-week low touched the previous day.

Cardano eyes short-term rebound as derivatives sentiment improves

Cardano (ADA) is trading at $0.257 at the time of writing on Thursday, after slipping more than 4% so far this week. Derivatives sentiment improves as ADA’s funding rates turn positive alongside rising long bets among traders.

The market trades the path not the past

The payroll number did not just beat. It reset the tone. 130,000 vs. 65,000 expected, with a 35,000 whisper. 79 of 80 economists leaning the wrong way. Unemployment and underemployment are edging lower. For all the statistical fog around birth-death adjustments and seasonal quirks, the core message was unmistakable. The labour market is not cracking.

Sonic Labs’ vertical integration fuels recovery in S token

Sonic, previously Fantom (FTM), is extending its recovery trade at $0.048 at the time of writing, after rebounding by over 12% the previous day. The recovery thesis’ strengths lie in the optimism surrounding Sonic Labs’ Wednesday announcement to shift to a vertically integrated model, aimed at boosting S token utility.