|

Stocks surge, despite heightened BoE rate hike expectations

A rise in UK inflation did little to excite forex traders, who instead focused on the lack of a breakthrough in Brexit talks. US stocks surged to new highs fuelled by improved earnings from banks Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs

  • Stocks surge as risk appetite improves

  • UK CPI rise fails to excite GBP traders

  • US financials gains after positive earnings

Global stocks have enjoyed another day of gains, with the now customary record highs in US indices this time driven by an outperformance in the banking sector. The dollar strengthened, with European currencies losing ground amid uncertainty fueled by Catalonia and Brexit. With the yen and gold losing ground, there is a clear shift into risk assets to the detriment of perceived havens.

One of the chief losers today has been the pound, which failed to rally on the back of a rise in CPI. Markets chose instead to focus on Theresa May's apparent failure to break the deadlock in Brexit negotiations.

With UK inflation now standing at 3%, there is sufficient pressure on the Bank of England to act in November. However, with the UK economy continuing to stutter, there is a clear reasoning behind the notion that any rate rise would simply create leeway for a like-for-like rate cut when the going gets tougher.

The latest US earnings season is underway, and US financials are heading higher in the wake of impressive figures from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. Once more bond trading is in the spotlight, with FICC trading revenues falling across the top 5 US banks. However, the impressive overall profitability in US banking does help instill confidence in an environment of rising rates.

Author

Joshua Mahony MSTA

Joshua Mahony MSTA

Scope Markets

Joshua Mahony is Chief Markets Analyst at Scope Markets. Joshua has a particular focus on macro-economics and technical analysis, built up over his 11 years of experience as a market analyst across three brokers.

More from Joshua Mahony MSTA
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces off lows, back to 1.1860

EUR/USD now manages to regain some balance, retesting the 1.1860-1.1870 band after bottoming out near 1.1830 following the US NFP data on Wednesday. The pair, in the meantime, remains on the defensive amid fresh upside traction surrounding the US Dollar.

GBP/USD rebounds to 1.3660, USD loses momentum

GBP/USD trades with decent gains in the 1.3660 region, regaining composure following the post-NFP knee-jerk toward the 1.3600 zone on Wednesday. Cable, in the meantime, should now shift its attention to key UK data due on Thursday, including preliminary GDP gauges.

Gold stays bid, still below $5,100

Gold keeps the bid tone well in place on Wednesday, retargeting the $5,100 zone per troy ounce on the back of humble gains in the US Dollar and firm US Treasury yields across the curve. Moving forward, the yellow metal’s next test will come from the release of US CPI figures on Friday.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP sell-side pressure intensifies despite surge in addresses transacting on-chain 

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower around $1.36 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by low retail interest and macroeconomic uncertainty, which is accelerating risk-off sentiment.

US jobs data surprises to the upside, boosts stocks but pushes back Fed rate cut expectations

This was an unusual payrolls report for two reasons. Firstly, because it was released on  Wednesday, and secondly, because it included the 2025 revisions alongside the January NFP figure.

XRP sell-off deepens amid weak retail interest, risk-off sentiment

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower around $1.36 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by low retail interest and macroeconomic uncertainty, which is accelerating risk-off sentiment.