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European equity markets traded in a narrow range today, losing slightly ground. US equity markets opened nearly unchanged with Nasdaq outperforming (+0.3%).
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EMU inflation rebounded in April, with the annual rate climbing to 1.9% after taking a surprisingly large tumble in the previous month. Encouragingly for policymakers, a core measure of inflation which strips out changes for oil and food prices also shot up, rising from 0.7% in March to 1.2%. That is its highest reading since 2013.
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The US economy's output grew at the slowest pace in three years during the first quarter, underscoring the challenges facing the Trump administration as it seeks to rev up economic growth. Growth slackened to 0.7% Q/Q annualised from 2.1% in Q4 2016 and below 1% consensus. Price indicators surprised on the upside though.
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The Chicago PMI rose from 57.7 to 58.3 in April, the highest level since early 2015, while consensus predicted a decline to 56.2.
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The UK economy slowed sharply in the first quarter as consumers pared back spending, a warning sign on growth ahead of a national election in June and the start of Britain's exit talks with the EU. Q1 GDP printed at 0.3% Q/Q, down from 0.7% Q/Q in Q4 2016 and below 0.4% Q/Q expectations.
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Russia's central bank cut its key interest rate by 0.5% to 9.25% on Friday, citing the country's continued emergence from a two‐year recession. The bank said inflation, currently at 4.3%, remained on track to hit its longstanding target of 4% by year's end, allowing for further gradual cuts in rates over the course of the year.
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US President Trump said a "major, major conflict" with North Korea was possible over its nuclear and ballistic missile programmes, while China said the situation on the Korean peninsula could escalate or slip out of control.
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Major dealers have backed the broader use of a BoE interest rate benchmark as an alternative to Libor, a rate that was tarnished by a rigging scandal. Support for SONIA, the sterling overnight index average, as its preferred "near risk‐free" interest rate benchmark in sterling derivatives and other financial contracts, will improve the resilience of the financial system, the BoE said.
This non-exhaustive information is based on short-term forecasts for expected developments on the financial markets. KBC Bank cannot guarantee that these forecasts will materialize and cannot be held liable in any way for direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this document or its content. The document is not intended as personalized investment advice and does not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell or hold investments described herein. Although information has been obtained from and is based upon sources KBC believes to be reliable, KBC does not guarantee the accuracy of this information, which may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions and estimates constitute a KBC judgment as of the data of the report and are subject to change without notice.
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