Sterling was the talk of the town across currency markets for all the wrong reasons during Monday’s trading session, thanks to mounting political uncertainty in the United Kingdom.

The Sunday Times newspaper reported over the weekend, that as many as 40 Conservative MPs have agreed to sign a letter of no-confidence in Theresa May. Although this was eight short of the signatures needed to trigger a formal leadership challenge, this is likely to add to the bucket load of uncertainty, translating into more pain for the British Pound. With political instability at home stimulating concerns over May’s ability to govern and deliver Brexit, Sterling may have a very rough and rocky road ahead. The price action suggests that sentiment towards the Pound remains bearish, despite November’s rate hike. Further downside is likely to be on the cards, on the back of political jitters and Brexit risk.

Taking a look at the technical picture, the GBPUSD has stumbled into the trading week under noticeable selling pressure, with bears eyeing 1.3050. Technical lagging indicators such as the MACD and 50 Simple Moving Average, both point to further downside. A decisive break down below 1.3050 may encourage a further decline towards 1.3000 and 1.2960, respectively.

GBPUSD

Dollar hovering around 94.50

The Dollar appreciatedslightly against a basket of currencies on Monday, as investors continued to ponder over the fate of the proposed U.S tax reforms.

With the Greenback becoming increasingly sensitive to expectations of proposed U.S. tax reforms, any positive, or negative, news on these developments has the ability to spark volatility. Focusing on the technical picture, the Dollar Index is under some selling pressure on the daily charts. Sustained weakness below 94.40 may encourage a further decline lower towards 94.00. In an alternative scenario, a breakout back above 94.70 may trigger an incline towards the 95.10 resistance.

Commodity spotlight – Gold

A firmer Dollar,coupled with expectations of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve in December,may have slightly obstructed Gold’s recovery during Monday’s trading session, with prices trading below $1280 as of writing.

This yellow metal remains a battleground for bulls and bears and as such, is likely to translate into prices trading in a wide range. While bulls may find support from political risk and geopolitical tensions, bears are poised to be inspired by expectations of higher U.S. interest rates and a stabilizing Dollar. With the economic calendar fairly light today, price action may dictate where the yellow metal trades. From a technical standpoint, previous support around $1280 has the ability to transform into a dynamic resistance that triggers a decline back towards $1267. Alternatively, a breakout above $1280 could open a path towards $1289 and $1300, respectively.

XAUUSD

Disclaimer:This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.

Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 90% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Analysis feed

FXStreet Trading Signals now available!

Access to real-time signals, community and guidance now!

Latest Analysis


Latest Forex Analysis

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD shakes above 1.18 after upbeat US retail sales

EUR/USD is trading above 1.18 after US retail sales missed with 1.2% in July but on top of upward revisions and alongside robust core increases. Consumer sentiment for August is awaited.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD trades above 1.3050 ahead of more reopening steps

GBP/USD is trading above 1.3050, off the lows. The UK is set to ease some restrictions over the weekend, extending its gradual exit from lockdown. The US dollar is taking a break after gaining and ahead of retail sales. 

GBP/USD News

Gold trades with modest losses, below $1950 level

Gold traded with a mild negative bias through the early European session and was last seen hovering near the lower end of its daily range, around the $1945 region.

Gold News

Ethereum knocks out King Bitcoin

Ethereum exploded in the final hours of the American session yesterday, dealing a significant blow in its particular battle against Bitcoin. Technical analysis in previous days had shown the possibility of a bullish extension move.

Read more

WTI drops to $42 amid poor Chinese data led risk-aversion

WTI (futures on Nymex) has come under fresh selling pressure and attacks the $42 level, as risk-aversion seeps into the European session and diminishes the demand for the higher-yielding assets such as oil.

Oil News

Forex Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures