Patterns: LIGHT/USD, EUR/CZK

Dukascopy Bank Team Dukascopy Bank SA

LIGHT/USD 4H Chart: Passes short term support

The price for crude oil has passed the previously described support line, which kept the commodity up during the most part of July. Due to the event a couple of updates can be mentioned.

First is the fact that the rate is heading to the lower trend line of the most dominant ascending channel pattern, which represents the surge of the oil price that was caused by the OPEC production cuts.

Secondly, a medium term, about to be broken channel down pattern has been charted. This pattern is set to be broken in the future. However, it might provide notable resistance until the middle of August.

EUR/CZK 1H Chart: Begins expected surge

The previous review of the EUR/CZK currency pair was concentrating on the fact that the pair was about to break the upper trend line of a junior descending pattern. It occurred on August 1 and the rate traded sideways in the aftermath of the breaking.

On Thursday, the currency rate stopped the sideways movements and broke past the SMAs, which kept it lower for the past two trading sessions. Namely, the previously expected surge has begun.

Most likely in the future the rate will form an ascending pattern of the same scale as the just broken channel down pattern.

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Dukascopy Bank Team

Dukascopy Bank SA

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AUD/USD sits near monthly high, around 0.7035 on hawkish RBA

AUD/USD trades around 0.7030-0.7035 in the Asian session on Thursday, near its monthly top, as recent hawkish comments from RBA officials continue to underpin the Australian Dollar. The US Dollar, meanwhile, struggles to lure buyers amid further declines in US bond yields, adding support to the pair. However, Fed rate-hike bets and geopolitical uncertainty help limit losses for the safe-haven buck, warranting caution for Aussie bulls.

USD/JPY remains confined in a familiar range; holds steady above 158.00

USD/JPY extends its consolidative price action through Thursday's Asian session, trading just above 158.00 amid diverging forces. Uncertainty over the timing of the next BoJ rate hike keeps Japanese Yen bulls on the defensive. The US Dollar, meanwhile, languishes near multi-week low amid declining US bond yields. Furthermore, looming intervention risks limit JPY losses and cap the pair. Traders also seem hesitant ahead of the Fed and BoJ meetings next week.

Gold hangs near one-week low; eyes $4,100 break amid Fed hike bets

Gold attracts fresh sellers in Thursday’s Asian session, sliding closer to a one-week low touched the previous day. Firming expectations for an imminent Fed rate hike, bolstered by oil-driven inflation risks, weigh on the non-yielding bullion. Meanwhile, declining US bond yields counter geopolitical uncertainty, keeping US Dollar bulls on the defensive. This helps XAU/USD defend $4,100.

Dogecoin Labs launches, resistance looms

Dogecoin (DOGE) Labs launched Wednesday in partnership with the Dogecoin Foundation, bringing together several product teams and technologies to expand the use of the memecoin (DOGE) across payments, decentralized finance (DeFi) and consumer applications. The launch will consolidate MyDoge, DogeOS and Such App under one business, led by Jordan Jefferson, founder of MyDoge and DogeOS.

What the midterm elections mean for Treasury yields, the Dollar and Gold

Democrats are priced to take the House, so November 3 comes down to the Senate and how much Washington can borrow without the other party. Treasury yields will show the answer first, then the Dollar and Gold. On November 3, Americans vote for all 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats. For bond prices, the result comes down to one thing: how much the government will borrow over the next two years.

The US Dollar fell. Gold didn't rally. That tells you everything

Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on a weaker US Dollar (USD), after repeatedly failing to establish itself above the $4,200 level. The precious metal remains confined to a relatively narrow trading range despite a combination of developments that would normally support higher prices.