|

OTMA and the Psychology of Trading

INTRODUCTION - Before you get into a position, you always need to have an idea of where you're going to get out if that position isn't going well. Now it's clear that if the market hits that level, it's time to head for the exit. But what's arguably far more important and massively overlooked, is that 'Out of The Money Area' (OTMA) between your point of entry and point of taking a loss. If you think about it, OTMA takes up all of the time a trade isn't going your way and has the ability to bring on intense stress and mental anguish. It sounds super obvious when you think about it and yet, I don't believe OTMA is an area (both literally and figuratively) that has been properly contemplated and explored.

PROPOSITION - And so, my proposition with respect to OTMA is that once you decide on your stop-loss point, instead of sweating every OTMA move, try and retrain your mind to accept OTMA as nothing more than allocated space to allow your position to work towards your profit target. Remember, when you got into the position, you told yourself you would take a loss if the market got to a certain level, and hopefully, you chose that exit level for a reason. If this is true, it also means anything in the OTMA zone is NOT where you would take a loss and nothing more than allocated space to allow for your trade to play out. 

REFRAME AND RETRAIN - If you can do this, it should have a major impact on your trading in an amazingly positive way. There are two big changes that will happen if you're able to reframe your thinking towards OTMA. For one, if you can process this and recognize OTMA as nothing more than approved, allocated space to let your trade do its thing, you'll start to worry less about being in the red and will discover you're no longer obsessing over every tick along the way. You'll also find you're more confident with your trading decisions and more understanding of the fact that in many ways trading is no different than life itself. That is to say, many times in life moving in the right direction is also about time spent in the opposite direction along the way. There are no straight lines.   

AWARENESS - The other area of change will be in the trading itself. Once you adopt this healthier mentality (that doesn't involve a daily regimen of staring at your computer screen for hours on end), you'll find you're even more diligent about determining exactly what you think is the right level to define as a stop if a trade you love isn't working out. All of a sudden, you'll be more OTMA sensitive, which means you'll become more proficient at prescribing the appropriate OTMA dose to your trades. When this happens, you'll start feeling a lot better about your positions, as OTMA is more associated with a part of the process rather than a death row sentence. And yes....that will make a big difference.

MOMENTUM - Yes. Of course trades won't go your way and you'll take losses. That's not what this is about. This is simply about reflecting on what just might be a massive iceberg sized chunk of debilitating, negative energy time that consume your days. We all need to constantly put ourselves in a position where our days are filled with as much positive, constructive energy as possible. It's a funny thing. When we hear about momentum in life, we aren't accustomed to associating momentum with mental health. But when taking some time to reflect, it's really a tragedy that we don't value the power of momentum when it comes to mental health. The more time we spend filling our days with positive thoughts, the greater the chance these positive thoughts build into a wave of mental health momentum resulting in full body health, happiness and success. So here's to gaining a better understanding of OTMA and a better way to think about it all.

Author

Joel Kruger

Joel Kruger

MarketPunks

Joel is a global macro trader and chief market punk at MarketPunks.

More from Joel Kruger
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, nears 1.1700

The EUR/USD pair eases in the American afternoon and approaches the 1.1700 mark. The pair surged earlier in the day after the ECB left interest rates unchanged and upwardly revised inflation and growth figures. The US CPI rose 2.7% YoY in November, nearing Fed’s goal.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders digest BoE policy update and US inflation data

The GBP/USD pair stalls the previous day's pullback from the vicinity of mid-1.3400s and a nearly two-month high, though it struggles to attract meaningful buyers during the Asian session on Friday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3380-1.3385 region, up only 0.05% for the day, amid mixed cues.

Gold declines despite Fed rate cut hopes as US inflation cools

Gold price keeps pushing lower below $4,350 in Asian trading hours on Friday. The precious metal stays in the red due to some profit-taking and weak long liquidation from shorter-term futures traders. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple correction slide as BoJ rate decision weighs on sentiment

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are extending their correction phases after losing nearly 3%, 8%, and 10%, respectively, through Friday. The pullback phase is further strengthened as the upcoming Bank of Japan’s rate decision on Friday weighs on risk sentiment, with BTC breaking key support, ETH deepening weekly losses, and XRP sliding to multi-month lows.

Bank of England cuts rates in heavily divided decision

The Bank of England has cut rates to 3.75%, but the decision was more hawkish than expected, leaving market rates higher and sterling slightly stronger. It's a close call whether the Bank cuts again in February or March.

Ethereum Price Forecast: EF outlines ways to solve growing state issues

Ethereum price today: $2,920. The EF noted that Ethereum's growing state could lead to centralization and weaken censorship resistance. The Stateless Consensus team outlined state expiry, state archive and partial statelessness as potential solutions to the growing state load.