Market movers ahead

  • On Thursday, we expect Norges Bank to raise its policy rate by 25bp to 1.00% and signal one further rate hike this year

  • We expect the EU27 to accept an extension of Brexit when they meet on Thursday- Friday.

  • The Fed is on hold while lowering the ‘dot' signal for 2019 to one hike (from two).

  • The Bank of England is in no hurry to raise rates in the current environment.

  • Preliminary Markit PMIs for euro area, Japan and the US are due out next week. In particular, we hope to see some stabilisation in the euro area PMIs soon.

  • In Sweden, Valueguard property prices are due out Monday morning.

 

Weekly wrap-up

  • A dramatic Brexit week ended as expected, as the House of Commons rejected May's deal, rejected leaving the EU without a deal but supported asking the EU27 for an extension. The decision has to be taken unanimously by the EU27 leaders

  • The US-China trade war summit between Trump and Xi Jinping has been delayed at least until April.

  • No monetary policy change from the Bank of Japan this week.

  • Euro area industrial production surprised on the upside, supporting our view that euro area activity is starting to recover some ground here in Q1 from the weak H2 18.

 

Download The Full Weekly Focus

This publication has been prepared by Danske Bank for information purposes only. It is not an offer or solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell any financial instrument. Whilst reasonable care has been taken to ensure that its contents are not untrue or misleading, no representation is made as to its accuracy or completeness and no liability is accepted for any loss arising from reliance on it. Danske Bank, its affiliates or staff, may perform services for, solicit business from, hold long or short positions in, or otherwise be interested in the investments (including derivatives), of any issuer mentioned herein. Danske Bank's research analysts are not permitted to invest in securities under coverage in their research sector.
This publication is not intended for private customers in the UK or any person in the US. Danske Bank A/S is regulated by the FSA for the conduct of designated investment business in the UK and is a member of the London Stock Exchange.
Copyright () Danske Bank A/S. All rights reserved. This publication is protected by copyright and may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission.

Feed news

Latest Forex Analysis

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD trims Pound-related gains, back to 1.1150/60 price zone

The EUR/USD pair got a nice short-lived boost from Brexit optimism, although it quickly trimmed gains, as PM May failed to convince the markets. Failure near 1.1200 left doors opened for a retest of the yearly low at 1.1110.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD nears 1.2700 as Brexit optimism fades

The GBP/USD pair keeps easing from daily highs and approaches the 1.2700 figure, down from 1.2814 as UK opposition wasn't convinced by PM May 'new' Brexit deal proposal.

GBP/USD News

USD/JPY extends gains above 110.50, to highest in two weeks despite US Dollar weakness

The USD/JPY broke above 110.25 earlier today and accelerated to the upside. During the American session printed a fresh daily high at 110.63, the strongest in two weeks. 

USD/JPY News

Anti-EU populism rise not priced in the EUR, European election could hit Euro

The European Union is holding its Parliamentary election next Sunday, May 26th and the impact of this political event seems to be underpriced by currency markets. 

Read more

Gold struggles pull away from May lows, continues to trade near $1270

The XAU/USD pair closed the first day of the week virtually flat below the $1280 mark and came under a renewed pressure on Tuesday as the upbeat market sentiment didn't allow the precious metal to find demand as a safe-haven

Gold News

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures