|

Market themes of the Day: Powell's testimony 2.0 and Canada's core inflation headline

What you need to know before markets open
Main themes:
 

  • The Bank of England governor Mark Carney said during the Treasury Select Committee's February Inflation Report hearing that given the exceptional circumstances of Brexit, I would expect Monetary Policy Committee to provide whatever monetary support it can consistent with the price stability remit. In the no-deal Brexit scenario, MPC’s tolerance for sustained overshoot of inflation target could be breached and some tightening would be required. 
  • Sterling outperformed on Tuesday as the UK Prime Minister Theresa May outlines Brexit endgame, including possible extension.
  • The Federal Reserve’s chairman Jerome Powell Congressional testimony confirmed the message of “patience” needed when adjusting the monetary policy. Powell is scheduled for the second day of Congressional testimony on Wednesday.
  • The Bank of Canada core inflation measure is expected to remain stable even with the headline inflation decelerating.

Europe

  • German Gfk consumer confidence remained unchanged to 10.8 in March.
  • The ECB executive board member Yves Mersch that the ECB is determined to push forward instant payment system also using EU regulatory capacity.
  • Bundesbank President and the ECB Governing Council member Jen Weidmann is scheduled to speak about the Bundesbank’s Annual Report, in Frankfurt at 10:00 GMT.
  • The ECB executive board member Benoit Coeure is scheduled to speak at the joint ECB, Deutsche Bundesbank and Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago conference on CCP Risk Management in Frankfurt at 8:30 GMT.

UK

  • The Bank of England governor Mark Carney said during the Treasury Select Committee's February Inflation Report hearing that given the exceptional circumstances of Brexit, I would expect Monetary Policy Committee to provide whatever monetary support it can consistent with the price stability remit. In no-deal Brexit scenarios, MPC’s tolerance for sustained overshoot of inflation target could be breached and some tightening would be required. 
  • The UK Labor party said to plan 2nd referendum amendment for Wednesday, adding to the Brexit drama.
  • The UK Prime Minister Theresa May outlined Brexit endgame, including a possible extension in massive support for Sterling.

US

  • The New York Federal Reserve Bank Chairman Jerome Powell delivers a Congressional testimony on the Semiannual Monetary Policy Report before the Senate Banking Committee.
  • The Conference Board consumer confidence rose above expectations to 131.4 in February from a revised 121.7 reading for January.
  • The US durable goods orders are expected to rise by 0.2% m/m in January.
  • The second day of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell testifying in the US Congress is expected to basically repeat the same monetary policy outlook message.

Canada

  • The Bank of Canada core inflation measure is expected to decelerate to 1.5% y/y in January.

Author

Mario Blascak, PhD

Mario Blascak, PhD

Independent Analyst

Dr. Mário Blaščák worked in professional finance and banking for 15 years before moving to journalism. While working for Austrian and German banks, he specialized in covering markets and macroeconomics.

More from Mario Blascak, PhD
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances to the area of daily peaks north of the 1.1800 barrier at the end of the week. The pair’s decent move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the mild offered stance in the US Dollar.

GBP/USD trims losses, retests 1.3460

After briefly challenging its key 200-day SMA near 1.3440, GBP/USD now manages to regain some balance and revisit the 1.3460 zone on Friday. Cable’s pullback comes as the selling pressure on the Greenback gathers traction, reigniting some recovery in the risk-linked space.

Gold flirts with four-week highs past $5,200

Gold extends its rebound, climbing for a third consecutive session and pushing back above the $5,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The move higher continues to draw support from lingering geopolitical tensions and the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade policy, both of which are keeping safe-haven demand firmly in play.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary. 

Breaking: US and Israel attack Iran, risk aversion to sweep global markets

Early Saturday, United States (US) President Donald Trump announced that the US had begun “major combat operations” in Iran, following Israel’s pre-emptive missile attacks against Tehran.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.