|

Market mood S&P 500: Risk sentiment positive as vaccine' hopes boost equity markets [Video]

Listen to the latest market mood for the S&P500.

Risk sentiment is positive this morning as hopes of a November vaccine trial are boosting equity markets. The DAX, DOW, and Euro Stoxx futures are all higher on the day heading into the European open. The US Centre for Disease Control and Protection (CDC) asked US states to prepare for a possible COVID vaccine by early November. Furthermore, the National Institute for Health’s (NIH) Dr. Fauci said that based on COVID-19 vaccine trial enrolment rates there could be a vaccine ready by November or December.

This positive sentiment should keep the S&P500 futures markets supported in the session. However, COVID-19 infections in Europe are nearly back to March levels which could offset some of the near term optimism. Furthermore, the White House is set to clarify the extent of the WeChat and TikTok ban within weeks. Depending on the length and extent of the ban this could change the risk tone and invalidate the outlook.

Expect S&P500 future buyers on pullbacks.

Trade Risks

  • Rising European COVID-19 cases.

  • Any Escalation of US/China trade tensions.

  • Any negative news that changes the current positive risk tone.

Author

Giles Coghlan LLB, Lth, MA

Giles is the chief market analyst for Financial Source. His goal is to help you find simple, high-conviction fundamental trade opportunities. He has regular media presentations being featured in National and International Press.

More from Giles Coghlan LLB, Lth, MA
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD remains depressed below 1.3400 as escalating US-Iran tensions underpin USD

The GBP/USD pair finds some support near 1.3370 after a modest gap-down opening on Monday, though it lacks bullish conviction and remains below 1.3400. Nevertheless, spot prices, for now, seem to have stalled the pullback from a nearly four-week high, around the 1.3450 area, touched on Friday amid mixed fundamental cues.


EUR/USD weakens to near 1.1400 as US-Iran escalation boosts US Dollar

The EUR/USD pair edges lower to around 1.1400 during the early Asian session on Monday, pressured by heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Federal Reserve Bank Governor Christopher Waller and European Central Bank policymaker Isabel Schnabel are set to speak later in the day.

Gold slides over 1% toward $4,050 on Fed-hike bets, firmer USD

Gold is losing over 1% to extend the decline toward $4,050 in the Asian session on Monday as further escalation of tensions between the US and Iran underpins the safe-haven US Dollar. Moreover, inflation worries stemming from rising Crude Oil prices cement expectations for a Fed rate hike in 2026 and further benefit the buck, exerting additional pressure on the yieldless bullion.

Week ahead: US CPI and Warsh testimony to take centre stage, BoC eyed too

US inflation report and Warsh testimony to headline the week. Dollar to dominate amid slew of other US data and Mideast tensions. Amid fresh Iran escalation, China GDP to shed light on Q2 impact. Bank of Canada not expected to follow RBNZ with rate hike.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June FOMC meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.