|

Highest minimum wages in Slovenia and Poland

On the radar

  • Industrial output declined in Romania by -3.2% y/y in February.

  • Inflation rate in Slovakia in March reached 4% y/y.

  • At 10 and 11 AM CET, Poland and Croatia will publish final inflation numbers in March.

  • There are no other releases scheduled.

Economic developments

Last week, Eurostat released data on gross minimum wages across the European Union as of January 2025. Luxembourg reports the highest minimum wage at €2638, while the minimum wages in the CEE region are less than half of this amount. Slovenia leads with a minimum wage of €1278, followed by Poland at €1091. All other countries in the region have minimum wages set below €1000. Croatia is close to this threshold at €970, whereas Czechia (€826), Slovakia (€816), and Romania (€814) have similar minimum wage levels despite differing median salaries. An interesting perspective emerges when adjusting minimum wages by the purchasing power standard (PPS). Considering price levels, Poland has the highest adjusted minimum wage at PPS 1523, followed by Slovenia at PPS 1427 and Romania at PPS 1340. Conversely, the lowest paid employees in Slovakia and Czechia earn PPS 973 and PPS 935, respectively. However, the comparison of gross minimum wages may be misleading due to local differences in social contributions, personal income tax, and tax allowances.

Market developments

While the Czech koruna and the Polish zloty are slightly stronger this week against the euro while the Hungarian forint keeps weakening. EURHUF is marginally above 410. The long-term yields have declined at the beginning of the week and ahead of the ECB meeting scheduled for April 17. The drama regarding tariffs continues as according to the latest news Trump considers further exemptions (after electronics) from tariffs this time on imported cars and parts. That would be important change for the CEE region and Slovakia in particular. Poland’s central banker Janczyk admitted that the chances for monetary easing at the upcoming meeting are very high. However, he sees the interest rate at 3.5% in 2026 as difficult to achieve. Slovak President Pellegrini said he would support scrapping transaction tax that was passed as part of consolidation package in order to lower budget deficit in 2025 and years ahead.

Download The Full CEE Macro Daily

Author

Erste Bank Research Team

At Erste Group we greatly value transparency. Our Investor Relations team strives to provide comprehensive information with frequent updates to ensure that the details on these pages are always current.

More from Erste Bank Research Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.