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Gold tries to recover

GBP/USD breaks higher

The pound advanced after resilient UK wage growth put pressure on the Bank of England to tighten policy. A new high above 1.2850 suggests a bullish continuation after a near four-week long consolidation. Such an upbeat confirmation in market sentiment would attract more trend followers. The supply zone formed by the psychological level of 1.3000 and a 15-month high of 1.3050 is next where resistance could be felt. As the RSI ventures into the overbought area again, 1.2880 is the closest support in case of a pullback.

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XAU/USD bounces back

Gold bounced as Fed officials hinted at the near end of the tightening cycle. The price seems to have found a solid foundation over the psychological level of 1900 from where the bulls hope the precious metal is bottoming out. A decisive break above the recent swing high of 1935 has prompted more bears to cover in fear of a short-squeeze, which could pave the way for an extended recovery towards June’s peak of 1982 with 1955 as an intermediate hurdle. 1924 is a fresh support to keep the rebound momentum intact.

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US Oil breaks key resistance

WTI crude rallied after the IEA commented that the market may tighten in the second half of the year. A close above the previous swing high of 72.50 then the 6-week high of 74.50 may open the door to a broader recovery in the medium-term by forcing the shorts to cut their losses. A bullish MA cross on the daily chart compounds the reversal pressure with 76.80 as the next target. The RSI’s double top in the overbought area may cause a limited fallback and the base of the momentum at 73.00 is the level to assess follow-up bids.

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Author

Jing Ren

Jing-Ren has extensive experience in currency and commodities trading. He began his career in metal sales and trading at Societe Generale in London.

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