|

Gold ready to breakout of the triangle [Video]

XAU/USD

Gold remains stuck in a 5 week triangle pattern - Testing resistance at 4360/4370 try shorts & stop above 4380 - a break higher is a buy signal.

Youtube preview

Gold is also stuck in a range from 4510 down to 4235, since the 28th of August.

Yesterday's break below 4335 worked this time, triggering the expected move to targets of 4318/15 & minor support at 4302/4297.

(I was looking for this move on Monday so was happy to see it play out yesterday for a potential $30 profit).

We wrote: ''A bounce from here is not out of the question, especially as you do not seem to be able to sustain a move in one direction for a significant period of time. Long positions need a stop below 4290.''

This trade also worked perfectly with a low for the day at 4292 before we shot higher to 4343 & eventually resistance at 4365/4375 over night.

Shorts are already working.

 We do have resistance from the 100 period moving average on the four hour chart, which is tracking closely to a a trend line going back to the 25th of August.

Today this area is at 4360/4370 so it should be worth trying a short (if you are not already short at 4365/4375) with STOP above 4380.

A sustained break above 4380 would then be a buy signal initially targeting 4410/4415 for a quick profit.

A break above 4415 can target 4430/4435 & even 4440.

Just be aware that a break above 4444 can target 4460/4465 for profit-taking on long positions.

 Shorts at 4360/4370 can target 4340/4335, then 4323, perhaps as far as 4318/4315.

A break below 4318/15 can retest minor support at 4302/4297.

A bounce from here is not out of the question, especially as you do not seem to be able to sustain a move in one direction for a significant period of time.

Long positions need a stop below 4290.... Just be aware that a break lower can target 4270.

Gold

Author

Jason Sen

Jason Sen

DayTradeIdeas.co.uk

Jason Sen began his career in the options pits on the trading floor of LIFFE in 1987 at the age of 19, making markets on his own account. In 2001 when the trading floor closed he successfully made the transition to day trading on computer screens.

More from Jason Sen
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD seems vulnerable near 0.6800, 10-month low amid bullish USD

AUD/USD languishes near a 10-month low during the Asian session on Friday, awaiting a break below 0.6800 before the next leg up amid a bullish US Dollar. Firming Fed rate-hike expectations, along with fading hopes for US-Iran diplomacy, help the USD hold gains at its highest level since April 2025. Moreover, the RBA’s dovish tilt undermines the Aussie and backs the case for further losses.

USD/JPY bulls turn cautious near 160.00 amid intervention risks

USD/JPY enters a bullish consolidation phase around its highest level since early September as bulls turn cautious amid intervention risk near 160.00. Meanwhile, the downside seems cushioned as the wide US-Japan interest rate gap keeps the Yen carry trade active. Furthermore, the possibility of a jumbo Fed rate hike and Middle East uncertainties hold the US Dollar near a 19-month top, supporting the currency pair.



Gold remains on the back foot below $3,900

Gold now alternates gains with losses below the $3,900 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal struggles to regain traction amid the firmer US Dollar, mixed US Treasury yields and expectations of further tightening by the Fed at its December meeting.

Bitcoin just posted five straight losing weeks, and the storm may not be over yet

Bitcoin is struggling to find support, slipping below $70,000 as multiple headwinds threaten to push the Crypto King lower. The much-anticipated “Uptober” rally failed to materialize, with persistent selling pressure and widespread liquidations instead reinforcing the “Rektober” narrative.

Week ahead – Fed Minutes, inflation data and Nvidia earnings to guide investors

Fed minutes may add to hawkish tone as bets of 50-bps hike grow. Nvidia to report earnings as bar to impress high after spy scandal. Trade and geopolitics to be focal point of Trump-Xi summit.

Gold hit its lowest level of 2026 near $3,850
Gold (XAU/USD) attempts to stabilize around $3,890 on Friday after falling to $3,852 on Thursday, its lowest level since October 2025. The precious metal has lost more than 4% this week, as investors increasingly anticipate further monetary tightening from the Federal Reserve (Fed). The latest decline reflects a sharp change in market expectations.