|

Gold ready to breakout of the triangle [Video]

XAU/USD

Gold remains stuck in a 5 week triangle pattern - Testing resistance at 4360/4370 try shorts & stop above 4380 - a break higher is a buy signal.

Youtube preview

Gold is also stuck in a range from 4510 down to 4235, since the 28th of August.

Yesterday's break below 4335 worked this time, triggering the expected move to targets of 4318/15 & minor support at 4302/4297.

(I was looking for this move on Monday so was happy to see it play out yesterday for a potential $30 profit).

We wrote: ''A bounce from here is not out of the question, especially as you do not seem to be able to sustain a move in one direction for a significant period of time. Long positions need a stop below 4290.''

This trade also worked perfectly with a low for the day at 4292 before we shot higher to 4343 & eventually resistance at 4365/4375 over night.

Shorts are already working.

 We do have resistance from the 100 period moving average on the four hour chart, which is tracking closely to a a trend line going back to the 25th of August.

Today this area is at 4360/4370 so it should be worth trying a short (if you are not already short at 4365/4375) with STOP above 4380.

A sustained break above 4380 would then be a buy signal initially targeting 4410/4415 for a quick profit.

A break above 4415 can target 4430/4435 & even 4440.

Just be aware that a break above 4444 can target 4460/4465 for profit-taking on long positions.

 Shorts at 4360/4370 can target 4340/4335, then 4323, perhaps as far as 4318/4315.

A break below 4318/15 can retest minor support at 4302/4297.

A bounce from here is not out of the question, especially as you do not seem to be able to sustain a move in one direction for a significant period of time.

Long positions need a stop below 4290.... Just be aware that a break lower can target 4270.

Gold

Author

Jason Sen

Jason Sen

DayTradeIdeas.co.uk

Jason Sen began his career in the options pits on the trading floor of LIFFE in 1987 at the age of 19, making markets on his own account. In 2001 when the trading floor closed he successfully made the transition to day trading on computer screens.

More from Jason Sen
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD meets fresh supply and tests 0.7100 amid weak Australian PMIs

AUD/USD has come under fresh selling pressure and is testing 0.7100 in the Asian session on Wednesday. Australia's flash PMIs showed manufacturing slipped into contraction and services expanding slowly for a second straight month, renewing the pair's downside. Furthermore, a bullish US Dollar acts as a headwind for the pair as traders keenly await the crucial Trump-Xi summit on Thursday. Meanwhile, markets shrug off US-Iran indirect talks.

USD/JPY stands firm near mid-157.00s, close to two-week high

USD/JPY hovers around mid-157.00s in the Asian session on Wednesday, near two-week highs touched last Friday as the BoJ's dovish rate hike continues to undermine the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains firm amid the Fed's hawkish stance, adding support to the pair, though JPY intervention fears cap further gains. Markets pay little heed to the completion of the round of US-Iran indirect talks ahead of Trump-Xi meeting.

Gold approaches $4,300 as Fed hike bets boost USD to fresh high since late July

Gold extends its steady intraday slide through the first half of the European session, reversing a part of the previous day's recovery from sub-$4,300 levels. US Dollar buying remains unabated on the back of the Federal Reserve's hawkish outlook, which is seen as a key factor driving flows away from the non-yielding yellow metal.

Bitcoin outperforms US equities and Gold since mid-August
Bitcoin (BTC) extends its rally, trading above $86,000 at the time of writing on Wednesday after gaining more than 6% so far this week. Strong institutional demand is supporting BTC’s bullish price action, with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording over $714 million in inflows on Tuesday after nearly $1 billion in positive flows the previous day.
S&P Global PMIs expected to show resilient US economic growth in September
S&P Global will release on Wednesday its preliminary September Purchasing Managers' Indices (PMIs) for the United States, based on surveys of top private sector executives, to provide an early indication of economic momentum. The data is expected to highlight US economic resilience.
BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.