|

Gold price slips as Hormuz tensions lift Oil and inflation fears

Gold (XAUUSD) prices remain under pressure as renewed conflict in the Middle East strengthens the US Dollar and lifts Oil prices. Rising inflation concerns and expectations that the Federal Reserve could keep interest rates higher for longer have added to the weakness. Attention now shifts to key economic releases and geopolitical developments that could influence gold prices.

Gold price retreats as Middle East conflict strengthens Dollar and lifts Oil prices

Gold started Monday on a weaker note after renewed conflict in the Middle East increased market uncertainty. Fresh hostilities between the United States and Iran raised concerns about disruptions to global energy supplies. Iran's renewed closure of the Strait of Hormuz pushed Oil prices higher and increased worries about inflation. The stronger US Dollar added further pressure on gold, extending the metal's early-week losses.

The latest Monetary Policy Report from the Federal Reserve highlighted stronger price pressures, increasing inflation concerns. The central bank said inflation accelerated during the spring because of tariffs, higher energy costs, and continued investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure. These developments supported expectations that the Fed could maintain higher interest rates for longer, creating additional pressure on gold prices.

Market attention now turns to the upcoming US Consumer Price Index data and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's first semi-annual testimony before Congress. These events could influence expectations for future monetary policy. Investors will also continue monitoring developments in the Middle East and movements in Oil prices, as both remain important drivers of market sentiment.

Gold price trades within triangle pattern as support holds firm

The gold chart below shows price trading inside a large triangle pattern. The upper boundary has acted as resistance throughout recent months, while the horizontal lower boundary has repeatedly provided support. Price has continued to respect both trendlines, keeping the broader consolidation pattern intact.

Gold Chart

Gold recently retreated toward the lower boundary as the descending resistance continued to cap upward movement. The latest decline brought price back to this important support zone, where price previously stabilized. The recent reaction suggests that this level remains an important technical area. However, price is still trading below the descending resistance trendline, showing that the broader short-term trend remains under pressure.

A sustained hold above the horizontal support could keep the triangle structure intact and allow another attempt toward the descending resistance line. On the other hand, a confirmed move below the lower boundary would weaken the current structure and increase the risk of additional downside. The reaction around this support level is likely to determine the next major directional move.

Gold outlook: Geopolitical risks and triangle support shape next move

Gold remains under pressure as geopolitical tensions, higher Oil prices, and expectations of a cautious Federal Reserve continue to support the US Dollar. The upcoming US inflation data and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's testimony could play an important role in shaping market expectations. At the same time, gold continues to hold near a key support level within the triangle pattern. The reaction around this technical level is likely to determine the metal's next major directional move.


Unlock exclusive gold and silver trading signals and updates that most investors don’t see. Join our free newsletter now!

Author

Muhammad Umair, PhD

Muhammad Umair, PhD

Gold Predictors

Muhammad Umair is a financial markets analyst and investor who focuses on the forex and precious metals markets.

More from Muhammad Umair, PhD
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains below 0.7000 amid light trading

AUD/USD fills a modest bearish gap on Monday, but remains below 0.7000 in the Asian session amid holiday-thinned liquidity. The US Dollar attempts a bounce even as US bond yields pull back from multi-year highs, limiting the pair. Moreover, diminishing odds of another RBA rate hike in November cap the Aussie.

USD/JPY hovers above 158.00 amid Japan/ US holiday

USD/JPY extends its range-bound price action into a new week, trading above 158.00 as bulls remain on high alert amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, softer US bond yields keep US Dollar bulls on the back foot and cap the pair's upside. However, geopolitical uncertainties could limit losses for the safe-haven buck amid thin liquidity due to a holiday in Japan and the US.

Gold buyers retain control as the US CPI week begins

Gold is extending its recovery from a two-month low of $4,067 into a new week on Monday, trying to remain above the $4,200 level amid a pause in the US Dollar retreat from an 18-month peak.

Bitcoin reclaims $83,500, Ethereum takes back 50-day EMA, XRP holds support
Bitcoin (BTC) takes back $83,500 on Monday after a sharp correction, with the Crypto King slipping below $81,000 the previous week. Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) followed BTC’s footsteps, recovering and reclaiming the $2,500 and $1.400 marks after a pullback last week.
USD/INR drops 1% at open as RBI steps up measures to support Indian Rupee

The Indian Rupee (INR) opens significantly higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday. The USD/INR pair falls 1% to near 95.80 as Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) fresh measures to curb US Dollar demand has brought relief for the Indian currency.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?