Slobodan Drvenica
Windsor Brokers
GOLD
Spot gold holds in red for the second straight day and extends lower after bulls failed to register a clear break above key barrier at $1755 (Mar 18 high) and generate initial signal of double-bottom formation.
Elevated US Treasury yields after US producer prices registered the largest annual gain in 9 ½ years dent metal’s appeal, as recent upbeat US economic data point to accelerating economic recovery, but investors are still cautious.
Key events this week are US inflation on Tuesday and retail sales data on Thursday.
Fed Chair Powell expressed optimism that inflation will accelerate in coming months that would boost the metal, but higher inflation not necessarily means higher gold price (the metal is used a hedge against inflation) as higher yields, on growing expectations of fast economic recovery, would increase the cost of holding metal.
Daily chart indicators point lower (momentum broke into negative territory and stochastic reversed from overbought zone) and support bearish scenario, however, bears need to break pivotal supports at $1731/27 (20DMA / Fibo 38.2% of $1677/$1758 recovery / converged 10/30DMA’s) to signal further weakness at top at $1758.
Res: 1744; 1758; 1766; 1775
Sup: 1727; 1718; 1708; 1700
The information contained in this document was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Any opinions expressed herein are in good faith, but are subject to change without notice. No liability accepted whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from the use of this document.
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