- Since breaking USD 1700 gold has not looked back on Tuesday the precious metal trades 1.47% higher.
- The Elliott Wave count has now extended and now the move higher has moved into subdivided waves.
Fundamental backdrop
Today once again stock markets in the US are higher as traders seem to believe there is some light at the end of the tunnel when it comes to the coronavirus pandemic. Larry Kudlow (Director of the US economic council) seems to think the economy is ready to go back to work. He also stated that Trump will deliver some very important news over the next coming days on this very subject. It seems like a very strange thing to say but interesting timing as the markets prepare for earnings season. That was not the end of the bullish comments from America's elite as US central banker Bullard said the US could perform a "V" shaped recovery if firms and families can pay bills, the virus is controlled and more tests are made available. Pretty big ask as 16 million US workers lost their jobs recently.
Call me a cynic but this could be the very reason gold is hitting the sky. The credibility of the US government and the central bank is being tested day after day. From the reactions to journalist questions to the stories of company bailouts, it feels like there is some pain left to come.
Technical picture
Below is the 4-hour chart of gold. As you can see the price has been pushing hard in recent sessions and it will be very difficult to keep this kind of momentum going in the long term. The Elliott Wave structure has now changed. The price is now in its wave 3 phase but the wave is long (usually the case) and now becoming subdivided. This means there are waves within waves. Elliott Wave analysts could, therefore, be looking for an internal 5-3-5 wave pattern to the upside for higher levels to be tested. There will be a weekly chart posted below so you could have an idea of where the longer-term targets lie.
Weekly Gann fan analysis
Below is the weekly chart with some manually drawn Gann fans. Following the principles, some of the main Gann lines have now been broken. I must stress there has not been a weekly close of the current weekly bar so watch out for a rejection. But the fan lines from the peak have now been taken out. This could mean a run for the highs could be more likely (if you believe in this type of analysis). The Gann lines that originate from the bottom of the chart are still intact. When the price breaks through the lines they are often used as support as you can see from the test of USD 1450.00. It remains to be seen if this velocity can continue but the signs for a move higher are still there.
Additional levels
All information and content on this website, from this website or from FX daily ltd. should be viewed as educational only. Although the author, FX daily ltd. and its contributors believe the information and contents to be accurate, we neither guarantee their accuracy nor assume any liability for errors. The concepts and methods introduced should be used to stimulate intelligent trading decisions. Any mention of profits should be considered hypothetical and may not reflect slippage, liquidity and fees in live trading. Unless otherwise stated, all illustrations are made with the benefit of hindsight. There is risk of loss as well as profit in trading. It should not be presumed that the methods presented on this website or from material obtained from this website in any manner will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. It is the responsibility of each trader to determine their own financial suitability. FX daily ltd. cannot be held responsible for any direct or indirect loss incurred by applying any of the information obtained here. Futures, forex, equities and options trading contains substantial risk, is not for every trader, and only risk capital should be used. Any form of trading, including forex, options, hedging and spreads, contains risk. Past performance is not indicative of future FX daily ltd. are not Registered Financial Investment Advisors, securities brokers-dealers or brokers of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or with any state securities regulatory authority OR UK FCA. We recommend consulting with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. If you choose to invest, with or without seeking advice, then any consequences resulting from your investments are your sole responsibility FX daily ltd. does not assume responsibility for any profits or losses in any stocks, options, futures or trading strategy mentioned on the website, newsletter, online trading room or trading classes. All information should be taken as educational purposes only.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD rises to two-day high ahead of Australian CPI
The Aussie Dollar recorded back-to-back positive days against the US Dollar and climbed more than 0.59% on Tuesday, as the US April S&P PMIs were weaker than expected. That spurred speculations that the Federal Reserve could put rate cuts back on the table. The AUD/USD trades at 0.6488 as Wednesday’s Asian session begins.
EUR/USD holds above 1.0700 on weaker US Dollar, upbeat Eurozone PMI
EUR/USD holds above the 1.0700 psychological barrier during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The weaker-than-expected US PMI data for April drags the Greenback lower and creates a tailwind for the pair.
Gold price cautious despite weaker US Dollar and falling US yields
Gold retreats modestly after failing to sustain gains despite fall in US Treasury yields, weaker US Dollar. XAU/USD struggles to capitalize following release of weaker-than-expected S&P Global PMIs, fueling speculation about potential Fed rate cuts.
Ethereum ETF issuers not giving up fight, expert says as Grayscale files S3 prospectus
Ethereum exchange-traded funds theme gained steam after the landmark approval of multiple BTC ETFs in January. However, the campaign for approval of this investment alternative continues, with evidence of ongoing back and forth between prospective issuers and the US SEC.
US versus the Eurozone: Inflation divergence causes monetary desynchronization
Historically there is a very close correlation between changes in US Treasury yields and German Bund yields. This is relevant at the current juncture, considering that the recent hawkish twist in the tone of the Fed might continue to push US long-term interest rates higher and put upward pressure on bond yields in the Eurozone.