|

Gold outlook: Post-Fed weakness likely to extend after recovery stall

XAU/USD

Gold bounced from new one-month low ($2582), hit on post-Fed 2.3% drop on Wednesday, but gains were so far short-lived.

Recovery stalled at $2626, with subsequent acceleration lower pushed the price again below important (broken) supports at $2605/00 (100DMA / psychological).

Wednesday’s close below these levels generated initial bearish signal, which will be validated on repeated daily close below, with long upper shadow of Thursday’s daily candle, signaling that offers remain strong.

However, temporary base that has formed at $2581 (lows of Wed/Thu / Fibo 76.4% of $2536/$2726) marks solid support which may hold for some time.

Bearish technical studies on daily chart contribute to Gold-negative fundamentals (Fed’s hawkish cut and signals of slower pace of rate cuts in 2025 strongly inflated dollar) and keep near-term risk shifted to the downside.

Immediate bias to remain with bears while the price stays below $2600/05), with stronger upticks to be capped under daily Ichimoku cloud base, reinforced by Kijun-sen ($2631).

Res: 2600; 2605; 2631; 2650.

Sup: 2581; 2564; 2536; 2511.

Interested in XAU/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 2664.25
    2. R2 2645.37
    3. R1 2621.14
  1. PP 2602.26
    1. S1 2578.03
    2. S2 2559.15
    3. S3 2534.92

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

More from Slobodan Drvenica
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.