|

Gold is probably forming a descending channel

XAU/USD

Gold is probably forming a descending channel but it is too early to know at this stage of course.

Last week we traded in a sideways consolidation exactly as predicted.

Two weeks ago I warned that we are unlikely to reach $3000 at this stage.

It is likely that we must wait several days ( and probably even weeks) for clarification of the new pattern or trend, as stated at the start of last week.

Currently the only strategy that can work is scalping short term support at 2895/91 - buy here with stop below 2884.
Targets: 2905 & 2915

And scalp resistance at 2925/30 - shorts need stops above 2935
Targets: 2905, 2915

Watch the 3 day range of 2893/91 2926/30.

A break below 2882/81 is a sell signal targeting 2870/2868 & even 2869/56 is not out of the question.

A break above 2932 may retest the all time high at 2951/56.

XAG/USD

Silver outlook remains unclear in the longer term sideways channel.

We could have support again at 3230/3220 & in fact longs here worked perfectly on Thursday & Friday. - but longs need stops below 3200 again today.
.
Targets: 3240, 3260 again for Monday & I hope this trade worked for you on Friday.

A break above 3275 can retest the February high at 3322/3340.

Just be aware that a break below 3200 can target 3175

WTI Crude April future

Last session low & high: 6612 - 6822.

WTI Crude on Friday we had a sell opportunity at 6740/60 but shorts needed stops above 6800.
Unfortunately we momentarily shot higher to 6822 before the expected decline.

However I would try this trade again on Monday, with stop above 6810.
Targets:

A break higher can target 6820/30 then strong resistance at 6885/6905 & shorts need stops above 6940.
Targets: 6835 & 6775

Support again at 6530/20. A break below 6500 is a sell signal targeting 6445/35 & 6395/75.

Chart

Author

Jason Sen

Jason Sen

DayTradeIdeas.co.uk

More from Jason Sen
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.