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Gold is entering the most important buy zone of 2026 – Are you positioned? [Video]

Gold’s pullback may have handed traders the most important entry point of 2026.

After four consecutive weekly declines, Gold is finally showing signs of a rebound. Yet despite that recovery, prices remain -25% below their peak – a discount that may not survive much longer if central bank activity is any guide.

This is not ordinary buying. It is institutional accumulation on a scale that should command attention.

The World Gold Council reported net Central Bank Gold purchases of 41 tonnes in May – that’s more than double April’s 19 tonnes. In a single month, official-sector demand accelerated by more than 115%.

“That is not hesitation. That is conviction,” says Lars Hansen, Head of Research at The Gold & Silver Club. “Central banks are using lower prices to accumulate before the next major breakout phase begins.”

The strongest signal came from Poland, which added 18 tonnes in May alone. That lifted its 2026 purchases to 64 tonnes and pushed total reserves to 614 tonnes.

China also stepped back into the market aggressively, buying 10 tonnes – its largest monthly addition since December 2024. More importantly, May marked China’s 20th consecutive month of Gold buying, taking total declared reserves to 2,331 tonnes.

This is not speculative positioning. This is long-term strategic preparation by some of the largest reserve managers in the world.

“Retail traders are asking whether Gold has further to fall,” Hansen says. “Central banks are answering that question with their balance sheets.”

Turkey was the only major seller, reducing reserves by 3 tonnes in May and taking 2026 net sales to 81 tonnes. But that selling appears linked to defending the Lira, not a loss of confidence in Gold. In other words, forced liquidity from one country is being overwhelmed by deliberate accumulation from others.

The 2026 Central Bank Gold Reserves Survey may be the clearest warning yet that Gold’s correction is running out of time.

A remarkable 89% of central banks expect global Gold reserves to increase over the next 12 months. Even more powerful, a record 45% plan to raise their own holdings.

That is the highest level of intended buying ever recorded in the survey.

For traders, the message is brutally simple. The world’s most powerful institutions are not waiting for perfect technical confirmation. They are buying into weakness.

“This is how major Gold advances usually begin,” Hansen says. “Sentiment looks tired, momentum resets, short-term traders lose patience –  and then the largest buyers quietly take control of supply.”

Gold remains deeply below its peak, yet the fundamental backdrop has arguably strengthened, not weakened.

Central banks are diversifying reserves. Sovereign debt levels remain extreme. Currency volatility is rising. Inflation risk has not disappeared. Geopolitical stress remains embedded across global markets. At the same time, traders still appear under-positioned relative to the size of the opportunity.

That creates the conditions for a powerful catch-up rally.

When Gold starts moving after a deep reset, the rebound can be fast, emotional and unforgiving. Those who wait for clear confirmation often find themselves chasing higher prices after the easy entry has gone.

“Gold is no longer a defensive afterthought,” Hansen says. “It is becoming one of the most important wealth preservation and wealth creation trades of this cycle.”

The Gold comeback trade is now entering a critical phase.

A market still trading at a steep discount to its peak is being accumulated by central banks at more than double the previous month’s pace. Poland is buying aggressively. China has extended its buying streak to 20 months. Nearly nine in ten central banks expect global reserves to rise. Almost half intend to increase their own holdings. 

That combination is rare. It is also highly bullish.

“The opportunity is in the gap between what the market currently sees and what central banks are already doing,” Hansen says. “By the time the crowd recognizes the signal, Gold may already be much higher.”

The pullback has created the buy zone. Central banks have confirmed the demand. The next leg higher may already be forming.

For traders seeking the highest-conviction commodity opportunity of 2026, the window is open now.

The question is no longer whether Gold can recover. The question is whether trader are positioned before the comeback trade becomes impossible to ignore.

Where are prices heading next? Watch The Commodity Report now, for my latest price forecasts and predictions:

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Author

Phil Carr

Phil Carr

The Gold & Silver Club

Phil is the co-founder and Head of Trading at The Gold & Silver Club, an international Commodities Trading Firm specializing in Metals, Energies and Soft Commodities.

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