Gold

The failure to close a breakout above $1480 will come as a considerable disappointment for the gold bulls. We have long been talking about all the old August to October lows around $1480 being a source of overhead supply and this has been a factor in yesterday’s failure at $1484. We discussed previously, the lack of selling pressure on gold as the support at $1445 has held firm, however, equally, this rebound is struggling again. We must though now see how the market responds again to today’s tick higher which is again eyeing $1480. A decisive close above $1480 would suggest continued recovery towards the psychological $1500 and a $1510 implied target. However, we are also mindful that the outlook on momentum is still medium term correctively configured and this is likely to still be another near term rally within a medium term bear phase. The RSI failing under 60 and MACD lines failing around neutral would be triggers for renewed selling. There is a distinct lack of certainty in outlook for gold right now, but a “phase one” trade agreement would weigh back on $1445.

XAUUSD

Risk Warning for Financial Promotions

Hantec Markets' various market reports and commentary are issued by Hantec Markets Limited, who is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, No. 502635. The reports are prepared and distributed for information purposes only.

Trading in Foreign Exchange (FX), Bullion and Contracts for Differences (CFDs) is not be suitable for all investors due to the high risk nature of these products. Forex, Bullion and CFDs are leveraged products that can result in losses greater than your initial deposit. The value of an FX, Bullion or CFD position may be affected by a variety of factors, including but not limited to, price volatility, market volume, foreign exchange rates and liquidity. You may lose your entire initial stake and you may be required to make additional payments. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved, seeking independent advice if necessary prior to entering into such transactions. Before deciding to enter into FX, Bullion and/or CFD trading, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. You should only invest in FX, Bullion and/or CFD trading with funds you are prepared to lose entirely. Therefore, only your excess funds should be placed at risk and anyone who does not have such excess funds should completely refrain from engaging in FX and/or CFD trading. Do not rely on past performance figures. If you are in any doubt, please seek further independent advice.

The reports do not constitute personal investment advice, nor do they take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of the clients who receive it. All information and research produced by Hantec Markets is intended to be general in nature; it does not constitute a recommendation or offer for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument, nor should it be construed as such. All of the views or suggestions within the reports are those solely and exclusively of the authors, and accurately reflect their personal views about any and all of the subject instruments and are presented to the best of the authors' knowledge. Any person relying on these reports to undertake trading does so entirely at his/her own risk and Hantec Markets does not accept any liability.

© 2014 Hantec Markets Limited

Analysis feed

Latest Forex Analysis

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD rises above 50-HMA, bull reversal in the making?

The sell-off in AUD/USD seems to have run out of steam, courtesy easing RBA rate cut expectations after upbeat Australian CPI data. The pair trades above the 50-hour average. A close above 0.6765 would confirm a bullish reversal candlestick pattern on the daily chart. 

AUD/USD News

USD/JPY fills Monday's bearish gap ahead of Fed interest rate

USD/JPY has filled the gap created by Monday's negative open. Coronavirus fears have subsided in the last 24 hours, allowing recovery in USD/JPY. The respite could be short-lived if the Fed sounds dovish, sending the US dollar lower. 

USD/JPY News

Federal interest rate preview: Stable policy and an uncertain future

The course of the American economy has not altered since the previous FOMC meeting on Dec last year. 4Q growth is expected to be 2.1% when the preliminary figures are released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on Thursday.

Read more

Gold: Bulls looking for a discount in $1560s

Gold top in the making with a weekly shooting star and weekly divergence. The price of gold has been found floundering between 1580 and the 1560s following a surge at the start of the year to the highest levels since March 2013 at $1,611.

Gold News

GBP/USD: 1.3080 questions break of short-term falling trendline

GBP/USD trades near 1.3025 during the early Wednesday’s trading session. The pair recently broke a three-day-old falling trend line but is still to cross the near-term key resistance confluence.

GBP/USD News

Forex Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures