|

Gold advances as risk appetite falls on Brexit concerns

The Brexit uncertainty sparked a flight to safety on Friday. Safe haven currencies, the yen, and the Swiss franc were bid higher. Dovish comments from Fed officials, Clarida, and Harker who expressed some doubt about the December rate hike kept the U.S. Dollar's rally in check.

Gold prices also advanced strongly on the day as investors' risk appetite waned on renewed concerns that the UK and the EU could part with no Brexit deal in hand.

The uncertainty of a no-confidence vote alongside the possibility of a second referendum also drove risk appetite lower. On the economic front, The ECB President spoke earlier in the day. He cautioned that inflation could dip in the coming months. However, the final inflation figures for October showed that headline CPI rose 2.2% annually while core inflation rose 1.1%.

Canada's manufacturing sales was seen rising 0.2%, beating estimates of a 0.1% increase.

A slow start to the week, this Monday will see the release of the Eurozone's current account data. This is later followed by the Eurogroup meetings. Brexit will remain in the headlines amid lack of any further economic reports on the day.

Following last week's resignations from the cabinet on the EU and the UK Brexit draft deal, the Eurogroup meeting starts today. We can expect further headlines on Brexit to dominate the newswires.

EURUSD intraday analysis

EURUSD

EURUSD (1.1400): The EURUSD currency pair posted strong gains on Friday and price action eventually closed above the falling trend line. The Euro currency is seen still trading below the resistance level of 1.1435 - 1.1460. Clearing this resistance level is essential for the common currency to target the next resistance level of 1.1547 - 1.1525. To the downside, failure to break the resistance level could keep the Euro trading in a range. The lower support at 1.1315 - 1.1300 is likely to be tested. However, as long as this support holds, the common currency could be looking to push higher.

GBPUSD intraday analysis

GBPUSD

GBPUSD (1.2827): The volatility in the GBPUSD currency pair continues. After price action posted strong declines off the resistance area of 1.3132 - 1.1308, the sterling plunged back to the support area. The rebound off the 1.2828 level is however expected to keep the currency pair in the range. As long as the above resistance and support levels hold, GBPUSD could remain volatile within these levels. To the downside, a close below 1.2828 could expose the downside target of 1.2683 which is pending a retest of support.

XAUUSD intraday analysis

XAUUSD

XAUUSD (1220.00): Gold prices advanced strongly on Friday. After breaking the local high of 1213.50, gold prices closed near the resistance area of 1223.50. This resulted in a brief pullback. As long as the pullback is limited, we expect gold prices to clear the resistance level. To the downside, the recently breached local highs near 1213.50 will likely act as support. This could potentially keep gold prices biased to the downside. But a break down below this level could push the price of precious metal down to 1204.08 level.

Author

John Benjamin

John is a market analyst for Orbex Ltd. and is a forex and equities trader having been involved in trading since late 2009. John makes use of a mix of technical and fundamental analysis and inter-market relationships.

More from John Benjamin
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.