GBP/USD outlook: Cracks 1.3500 barrier and hits a multi-month high on upbeat UK economic data

Slobodan Drvenica Windsor Brokers

GBP/USD

Cable rose 0.5% on Friday morning and cracked psychological 1.3500, hitting the highest since February 2022.

Fresh acceleration higher was sparked by upbeat UK retail sales, which strongly beat forecasts in April and boosted risk sentiment.

Bullish continuation pattern is developing on weekly chart as cable broke through key resistances at 1.3434/44 (2024/2025 tops), with weekly close above these levels to validate the signal.

This week’s action was shaped in a large bullish candle which is on track to offset initial reversal signals from weekly Hammers and Doji candles in past four weeks.

Also, the pair is on track to complete the fourth consecutive month of strong gains that adds to bullish outlook, along with a kind of bear-trap that formed below 1.3200 psychological support on monthly chart.

Recent solid UK economic data, hotter than expected inflation and weakening dollar are likely to continue to underpin the pound.

Sustained break of 1.3434/44 pivots to signal continuation of larger uptrend and expose targets at 1.3643/1.3748 (Jan / Feb 2022 tops) and unmask psychological 1.40 barrier.

Meanwhile, overbought conditions may pause rally for consolidation / limited correction, which would mark positioning for further advance.

Former breakpoints (1.3434/44) reverted to initial but solid supports, with 4-hr chart higher base at 1.3390 zone to contain dips and keep bulls intact.

Res: 1.3500; 1.3557; 1.3600; 1.3643.
Sup: 1.3484; 1.3444; 1.3434; 1.3390.

Interested in GBP/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

1. R3 1.3493
2. R2 1.3467
3. R1 1.3443
PP 1.3417
1. S1 1.3393
2. S2 1.3367
3. S3 1.3343

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

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