|

GBP/USD Forecast: Sterling set to consolidate after runup on Brexit delay hopes

  • The GBP/USD is trading on the downside sliding from near 1.3100 level after runup backed by market hoping for delay or no Brexit at all.
  • The European Union’s Moscovici said the EU supported the idea of the second Brexit referendum saying it would be fully “legitimate”. 
  • Fresh Brexit headlines are awaited to push Sterling either direction.

The GBP/USD is trading slightly on the downside at around 1.3035 area after the Brexit hopes for delayed Brexit combined with the European Union’s support for the second Brexit referendum saw the currency pair jumping to 1.3095 overnight.

The European Commission’s Commissioner for Economic and Financial Affairs, Taxation and Customs Pierre Moscovici said the EU supported the idea of the second Brexit referendum saying it would be fully “legitimate”.

Moreover, the EU chief Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier said the EU is ready to negotiate should the UK make compromises on the red lines.

Technically the GBP/USD jumped above downward sloping trendline and breaking above 1.3000 it has also conquered the major resistance line representing 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the upmove from 1.2130 to 1.4177.

The technical oscillators including the Relative Strength Index and Slow Stochastics are both elevated with Slow Stochastics making the bearish crossover in the Overbought territory. The GBP/USD is correcting lower after the bullish breakout and the Fibonacci level of 1.2990 becomes a support level now and the first price target on the downside.  On the upside, the immediate resistance is at around 1.3100.

The GBP/USD daily chart

Author

Mario Blascak, PhD

Mario Blascak, PhD

Independent Analyst

Dr. Mário Blaščák worked in professional finance and banking for 15 years before moving to journalism. While working for Austrian and German banks, he specialized in covering markets and macroeconomics.

More from Mario Blascak, PhD
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD accelerates losses, focus is on 1.1800

EUR/USD’s selling pressure is gathering pace now, opening the door to a potential test of the key 1.1800 region sooner rather than later. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of marked gains in the US Dollar following US data releases and the publication of the FOMC Minutes later in the day.

GBP/USD turns negative near 1.3540

GBP/USD reverses its initial upside momentum and is now adding to previous declines, revisiting at the same time the 1.3540 region on Wednesday. Cable’s downtick comes on the back of decent gains in the Greenback and easing UK inflation figures, which seem to have reinforced the case for a BoE rate cut in March.

Gold picks pace, flirts with $5,000

Gold is back on the front foot on Wednesday, shaking off part of the early week softness and pushing higher towards the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The move comes ahead of the FOMC Minutes and is unfolding despite an intense rebound in the US Dollar.

Fed Minutes to shed light on January hold decision amid hawkish rate outlook

The Minutes of the Fed’s January 27-28 monetary policy meeting will be published today. Details of discussions on the decision to leave the policy rate unchanged will be scrutinized by investors.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.