|

GBP/USD Forecast: bears take breather near descending trend-channel support

The GBP/USD pair kept losing ground on Tuesday and dropped to fresh yearly tops amid persistent US Dollar buying interest, primarily led by a fresh round of sell-off in the shared currency. Adding to this, uncertainty surrounding Brexit negotiations, coupled with the recent dovish BoE tilt exerted some additional downward pressure on the British Pound and dragged the pair to its lowest level since late Nov. 2017.

The pair, however, managed to find decent support near the 1.3200 handle and now seems to have stabilized around mid-1.3200s. There isn't any major market-moving economic data due for release from the UK and hence, the USD price dynamics would play a dominant role in influencing the price-action through the European session. Later in the day, the release of ADP report on the US private sector employment, followed by the second estimate of the US Q1 GDP growth figures would be looked upon for some meaningful trading opportunities.

From a technical perspective, the pair on Tuesday rebounded from a short-term descending trend-channel support but struggled to move back above the 1.3300 mark, which now seems to act as an immediate strong hurdle. A sustained move beyond the said handle is likely to accelerate the recovery move further towards the channel resistance, currently near the 1.3345-50 region. 

Alternatively, weakness back below 1.3230 immediate horizontal support might turn the pair vulnerable to extend the downfall and head back towards challenging the 1.3200 round figure mark, also nearing 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the 1.1987-1.4377 upsurge.

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $4,400

Gold rebounds toward the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday, reversing the previous day’s pullback. The precious metal’s recovery comes as fresh and intense weakness keep weighing on the US Dollar, while traders keep assessing easing expectations of an imminent Fed interest rate hike and the situation from the Middle East.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10
Pi Network (PI) price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases. PI token’s technical outlook is mixed, as bearish momentum wanes to neutral, with bulls eyeing the $0.1000 psychological level.
 Weekly focus: Some relief in US inflation concerns

Actual inflation data for July came out as expected with a 0.1% m/m increase in headline CPI and 0.2% excluding food and energy. Annual headline inflation remains too high at 3.4% and means that wage earners are experiencing stagnating spending power at best, and core inflation is a bit higher than the inflation target of two percent would suggest.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.