|

GBP/USD analysis: Brexit headlines keep coming, but there's no deal yet

GBP/USD Current price: 1.2968

  • Mounting speculation of a new UK Brexit´s plan to be discussed this week.
  • GBP/USD exposed to wild swings amid Brexit uncertainty.

The GBP/USD pair closed the week with gains in the 1.2960 region, recovering from a multi-month low of 1.2690. By the end of the week, however, the pair was unable to sustain gains above the 1.3000 level as the unimpressive US NFP report gave speculative interest a reason to book some profits ahead of the weekly close. Brexit headlines over the weekend have been quite intense and may lead to some gaps in the pair ahead of the weekly opening. There was a report indicating that UK PM May had a plan to remain in a temporary customs union with the EU to avoid a hard border in Ireland. Later, a May's spokesman said that an all-UK customs Brexit deal report is "speculation," denying the previous news. PM May's cabinet is said to meet on Tuesday, to discuss a plan to present the EU before the weekend. Also, The Guardian reported Sunday that more than 50 business leaders have signed a letter advocating a second vote on Brexit.

 The UK will release this Monday the October Markit Services PMI expected at 53.3 from 53.9 in September.

Technically, the upward potential for the pair remains limited, as, in the daily chart, the rally stalled around a mild-bearish 20 DMA which continues gaining downward traction below the 200 EMA. In the same chart, technical indicators have recovered from oversold readings, but the advance lost strength within negative ground, with the indicators now turning lower. Shorter term, and according to the 4 hours chart, however, the scale leans to the upside, as the pair is battling around a flat 200 EMA and well above a bullish 20 SMA, while technical indicators stabilized well into positive ground after correcting extreme overbought readings.

Support levels: 1.2935 1.2900 1.2865

Resistance levels: 1.30001.3040 1.3085

View Live Chart for the GBP/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD surges to multi-day peaks past 1.3250

GBP/USD leaves behind Friday’s small pullback and advances past 1.3250 level, or five-day highs, on Monday. Cable’s upside follows extra losses in the Greenback, while traders continue to assess the geopolitical front and upcoming key events.

EUR/USD softens to near 1.1400 as ECB tightening bets fade

The EUR/USD pair trades with mild losses around 1.1415 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The Euro softens against the US Dollar as traders reduce their bets on the European Central Bank rate hikes this year.

Gold tumbles 1.5% to fresh seven-month lows below $3,950

Gold remains under strong selling pressure for the second straight day early Tuesday, refreshing seven-month lows below $3,950. Renewed US-Iran hostilities over the weekend cast doubts over the sustainability of the peace deal. This, along with elevated expectations for Fed rate hikes, offers some support to the US Dollar and undermines the bullion.

Bitcoin stalls at $60K as buyer conviction fades, Strategy authorizes BTC sales

Bitcoin is trading around the $60,000 level on Monday after a sharp decline last week. With the top crypto struggling to recover, analysts suggest the market remains firmly in defensive territory as investors await stronger signs of demand.

Just like Fed, is BoJ’s independence under threat?

When talking about central bank independence, most of the focus has been on Donald Trump’s pressure on the Federal Reserve. But a similar story, a quieter one for now, seems to be happening on the other side of the Pacific: Japan’s government may be testing the Bank of Japan’s independence.

Kevin Warsh isn't expected to say much in Sintra: That's exactly why markets will listen

Financial markets could find an important catalyst in the enchanting, fairytale-like landscape of Sintra this week. The ECB Forum will, as it does every year, gather the crème de la crème of central banks. The new boss at the Fed, who has clearly said that the Fed should stop explaining everything, will need to talk – and traders should listen.