|

GBP/JPY recovers some ground after BoE slump [Video]

  • GBPJPY slid below 50-day SMA after BoE surprise decision to hold rates steady.

  • Remains in a gentle downward path despite today’s bounce after BoJ leaves policy unchanged.

  • Will the short-term pullback extend?

 

GBPJPY had been stuck in a prolonged uptrend since the beginning of the year, posting an eight-year high of 186.75 on August 22. However, the pair has been experiencing a downside correction since then, with the momentum indicators suggesting more losses in the near term.

GBPJPY

If selling interest persists, the July support of 179.45 could provide initial downside protection. Breaking below that zone, the price might face the July bottom of 172.29. A violation of that hurdle could open the door for the May resistance of 172.31, which could serve as support in the future.

Alternatively, should the price reverse back higher and reclaim its 50-day simple moving average (SMA), the bulls could attack the July peak of 184.00. Piercing through that wall, the pair could attempt to re-test its eight-year high of 186.75. If that barricade also fails, the price could ascend to fresh multi-year highs, where the 190.00 psychological mark might curb further upside attempts.

In brief, GBPJPY has been undergoing a strong pullback, which strengthened after the BoE’s dovish surprise.  Nevertheless, traders should not rule out an impending bounce as the price is trading below the lower Bollinger band, hinting that the pair has reached oversold conditions.

Author

Stefanos Oikonomidis

Stefanos joined XM as a Junior Investment Analyst in September 2021. He conducts daily market research on the currency, commodity and equity markets, from a fundamental and a technical perspective.

More from Stefanos Oikonomidis
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).