|

FX Weekly: EUR/USD Versus USD/JPY drives currency markets

By April 2019, a total of 572 articles were published on Fxstreet. A full 3 years later, 572 must be in the vicinity 0f 800 and 1000 articles. To post 1 article per week for 10 years equates to 480.

The vast majority were trades and trade related / in depth information such as Correlations, interest rates, money supplies, moving averages. Trades always accompanied analysis to understand the trades.

Target trading was a standard since 2012 and continues to this day. Target trades were short and long term. Many long term trades for 6 and 8 week durations hit targets perfectly for 5, 7 and 1000 pips and all published prior to the trade.

Profit pips from published trades must be in the 100,000 vicinity easily. For 5 months of 2019, weekly trades profited 24,000 pips alone.

Trades and targets weren't contained to G28 and EM currencies but targets achieved for long term trades on Yields, interest rates, WTI, SPX and Gold. Trades still factor by pen, paper and calculator. The difference today is calculations are easier due to upgrades from days past. I liked trading USD/CLP and Copper and achieved targets for both. The same may be accomplished with USD/MXN and Silver as Banxico changed the relationship to MXN and Tiie interest rates to slow MXN price speeds in accordance with Silver.

Forecasted correctly in years past were NFP's, GDP and many economic announcements. No difference today as banks and forecasters still can't be trusted. Last GDP forecast for example predicted correctly and beat the Atlanta Fed Nowcast. Jackson Hole 2017, the 2 year yield traded at 1.32 and today 3.38 or 2.06 point difference in 5 years. The walk down memory journey was quite astounding as the best of research, features and trades were brought to FxStreet readers. All freely given and found at btwomey.com.

The Week

EUR/NZD target last week at 1.6258 traded to 1.6253 on Friday. Then short target at 1.6184 traded to 1.6213.

NZD/JPY target at 84.25 traded to 84.24 Friday.

Trade Raking EUR/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, EUR/CAD, AUD/JPY, EUR/AUD, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, AUD/CHF, NZD/CHF, CAD/CHF, CAD/JPY, EUR/JPY, NZD/JPY, EUR/NZD.

Not much difference from last week as EUR/JPY relegates back to last due to its position. Currency markets are defined as EUR/USD Vs USD/JPY. Best trade for CHF are NZD/CHF, GBP/CHF and EUR/CHF. Oversold EUR/USD is contained from 0.9999 to 0.9853. Above 0.9999 targets easily 1.0072.

USD/JPY and JPY cross pair strategy remains short to target USD/JPY 136.26 to start.

EUR/USD cross pairs are outperforming GBP cross pairs week to week and this week will see the same performance. EUR/NZD for example will outperform GBP/NZD as occurred last week.

GBP Trade Rankings

GBP/USD, GBP/AUD, GBP/CAD, GBP/CHF, GBP/NZD, GBP/JPY . GBP/JPY for the 2nd week sits n last position while GBP/USD, GBP/CHF, GBP/CAD and GBP/AUD trade oversold. Not looking for much performance to GBP/NZD this week.

Author

Brian Twomey

Brian Twomey

Brian's Investment

Brian Twomey is an independent trader and a prolific writer on trading, having authored over sixty articles in Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities and Investopedia.

More from Brian Twomey
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD holds steady near 0.7200 amid escalating US-Iran tensions

AUD/USD consolidates just below its highest level since mid-May, touched on Friday, and hovers around 0.7200 at the start of a new week amid mixed cues. Hawkish RBA expectations continue to act as a tailwind for the Aussie. Meanwhile, the upbeat US NFP report lifted Fed rate hike bets, which, along with escalating US-Iran tensions, underpins the safe-haven US Dollar and caps the currency pair.

USD/JPY slides to test 154.00 on aggressive hawkish BoJ repricing

USD/JPY accelerates its decline and tests 154.00 in the European session on Monday as an aggressively hawkish BoJ repricing continues to drive the Japanese Yen higher. Meanwhile, the US Dollar faces headwinds from US debt worries and uncertainty about the Fed's policy outlook ahead of Friday's US CPI data release.

Gold recovers intraday losses to sub-$4,400 as USD slumps despite Fed rate hike bets

Gold shows some resilience below the $4,400 mark, and recovers intraday losses during the first half of the European session. Any meaningful upside, however, seems limited as traders might opt to wait on the sidelines ahead of the latest US inflation figures, due later this week.

Bittensor: TAO eyes $300 amid launch on Raydium, parody meme coin, ChatGPT-6 Astra release

Bittensor is trading in the green on Monday, continuing a steady upward trend over the last five days, with a 25% gain. Social chatter surrounding Bittensor is increasing amid a similarly named meme coin launched on Solana and the release of ChatGPT-6 Astra. The technical outlook for TAO is bullish as momentum strengthens and buyers target the $300 breakout.

Strong US jobs, Middle East tensions and key inflation data ahead
Good morning all, hope you enjoyed your weekend. Markets are starting the week after Friday’s stronger-than-expected US jobs report, which increased expectations that the Fed could raise rates at its September meeting. However, US markets are closed today for the Labor Day holiday, so liquidity should be lower and we may see slower price action.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.