|

Forex trading short on AUD/CAD, US indices in consolidation over political uncertainty [Video]

We talked last time about buying the dip on US stock indices but we still don’t have enough confirmation to open a long position.

It seems that corporate America is heading into a period of uncertainty.

Political instability causes uncertainty and uncertainty is actually worse than bad news when it comes to decision making.

Therefore, we may not see much movement until November when the US elections take place.

Technically, a long position may not be advisable right now.

We have been range-trading AUDUSD for a few weeks now and we see no reason to stop.

However, the range seems to be getting tighter.

If we use Bollinger Bands, we can watch for a Bollinger Squeeze.

Here we see one which was followed by a sudden dramatic move.

AUDCAD has also given us opportunities but we now see price action starting to consolidate into a symmetrical pennant.

If we want to open a short position, we need to see some technical confirmation.

Right now the stochastic oscillator is undecided and we need to confirm direction first.

Right now, AUD and CAD are pretty much tied as the strongest currencies.

This may change if we see a downturn in the price of WTI Crude Oil which has pulled back from its May/June high.

If we fall from the high of almost $82 per barrel, CAD should fall as well.

That’s all for now.

CFDs and FX are leveraged products and your capital may be at risk.

Author

Brad Alexander

Brad Alexander

FX Large Limited

Brad became fascinated with the Currency Markets from a young age and researched fundamental analysis.

More from Brad Alexander
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 amid trading lull, awaits Fed Minutes

EUR/USD trades around a flatline below 1.1800 in European trading on Tuesday. The pair lacks any trading impetus as the US Dollar moves little amid market caution ahead of the Fed's December Meeting Minutes release, which could offer insights into the Federal Reserve’s 2026 outlook.

GBP/USD retakes 1.3500 despite the year-end grind

GBP/USD finds fresh demand and retakes 1.3500 on Tuesday as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Despite the latest uptick, the pair is unlikely to see further progress due to the year-end holiday volumes.

Gold holds the bounce on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven flows

Gold holds the rebound near $4,350 in the European trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal recovers some lost ground after falling 4.5% in the previous session, which was Gold's largest single-day loss since October. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).