Fed hawkishness sparks market moves [Video]

Ipek Ozkardeskaya Swissquote Bank Ltd

The US bonds extended their rally as one of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) most hawkish members, Christopher Waller, said in a speech named ‘Something appears to be giving’ that he is ‘increasingly confident that policy is currently well positioned to slow the economy and get inflation back to 2%’.

The US yields tumbled, gold rallied past the $2050 level, the EURUSD traded above the 1.10 psychological level, Cable surpasssed 1.27, and the USDJPY tipped a toe below the 147 level and below its 100-DMA.

Note that we have a few technical levels across currencies and commodities that are being tested as a result of a significant meltdown in the US yields and the RSI indicators across most asset classes are screaming that it’s time for correction.

Moving forward, have a look at the latest US GDP update today and at the latest European inflation updates between today and tomorrow.

On separate note, US crude rebounded past $76pb, but gains remain timid as the latest news suggest that Angola and Nigeria continue to resist to Saudi’s demand for a joint effort to reduce supply and that there is a chance that the OPEC meeting, which is rescheduled to tomorrow, could be delayed again.

Author

Ipek Ozkardeskaya

Swissquote Bank Ltd

Ipek Ozkardeskaya began her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked in HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high-net-worth clients.

EUR/USD holds firm above 1.1900 as US NFP looms

EUR/USD holds its upbeat momentum above 1.1900 in the European trading hours on Wednesday, helped by a broadly weaker US Dollar. Markets could turn cautious later in the day as the delayed US employment report for January will takes center stage.

GBP/USD recovers losses despite rising UK political risks, BoE rate cut bets

Pound Sterling advances against the US Dollar after registering modest losses in the previous session, trading around 1.3650 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair could extend losses as the Pound Sterling faces pressure from rising political risks in the UK and growing expectations of near-term Bank of England rate cuts.

Gold sticks to gains near $5,050 as focus shifts to US NFP

Gold holds moderate gains near the $5,050 level in the European session on Wednesday, reversing a part of the previous day's modest losses amid dovish US Federal Reserve-inspired US Dollar weakness. This, in turn, is seen as a key factor acting as a tailwind for the non-yielding yellow metal ahead of the critical US NFP release.

US Nonfarm Payrolls expected to show modest job gains in January

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the delayed Nonfarm Payrolls data for January on Wednesday at 13:30 GMT. Investors expect NFP to rise by 70K following the 50K increase recorded in December.

S&P 500 at 7,000 is a valuation test, not a liquidity problem

The rebound from last week’s drawdown never quite shook the sense that it was being supported by borrowed conviction. The S&P 500 once again tested near the 7,000 level (6,986 as the high watermark) and failed, despite a macro backdrop that would normally be interpreted as supportive of risk.

BNB prolonged correction signals deeper bearish momentum

BNB (BNB), formerly known as Binance Coin, is trading below $618 on Wednesday, marking the sixth consecutive day of correction since the weekend. The bearish price action is further supported by rising short bets alongside negative funding rates in the derivatives market.