EUR/USD outlook: Larger bulls remain in play ahead of key economic events

Slobodan Drvenica Windsor Brokers

EUR/USD

EURUSD extended pullback on early Wednesday, following nearly 0.5% drop on Tuesday, but fresh bears were so far limited despite initial negative signal on formation of bearish engulfing pattern on daily chart.

Initial Fibo support at 1.1690 (23.6% of 1.1391/1.1780) reinforced by 10DMA provides solid support which contained today’s dips.

Technical picture on daily chart is predominantly bullish, though early next week’s daily cloud twist would be magnetic and attract bears for probe through 1.1690 and attack at next key levels at 1.1630/10 zone (Fibo 38.2%/Sep 2,3 higher lows.

Traders eye key economic events, ECB interest rate decision and US Aug CPI, due on Thursday.

The European Central Bank is expected to keep rates on hold at 2%, as Eurozone consumer prices are steady around the ECB’s target.

Fed meets next week, and it is widely expected to deliver the first rate cut (25 basis points), with strong weakening in the US labor sector increasing pressure for policy easing, as US policymakers see still elevated inflation as temporary, with current restrictive monetary policy expected to absorb negative impacts.

Res: 1.1736; 1.1780; 1.1800; 1.1830.
Sup: 1.1690; 1.1630; 1.1610; 1.1574.

Interested in EUR/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

1. R3 1.1838
2. R2 1.181
3. R1 1.1759
PP 1.1732
1. S1 1.168
2. S2 1.1652
3. S3 1.1601

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

EUR/USD remains bid near 1.1650 post-US ADP

Finally some respite for the risk complex see EUR/USD partially recover from the recent steep sell-off, this time hovering around the 1.1650 zone amid decent gains in a context of renewed selling pressure on the US Dollar. However, the duration and extension of this bounce should be put to the test amid the unabated tensions in the Middle East.

GBP/USD meets resistance around 1.3400

In line with its risk-linked peers, GBP/USD stages a modest comeback on Wednesday, although meeting some resistance around the 1.3400 neighbourhood. Cable’s humble recovery comes on the back of the fresh downward bias in the Greenback amid a marginal improvement in the global sentiment and steady geopolitical effervescence.

Gold flirts with $5,200 amid safe haven demand

Gold partially fades Tuesday’s sharp pullback, regaining the $5,200 mark per troy ounce on the back of the resurgence of investors’ demand for the safe-haven space. The precious metal remains well propped up by the deterioration of the geopolitical scenario in the Middle East, while the softer tone in the US Dollar collaborates with the uptick.