Slobodan Drvenica
Windsor Brokers
The Euro holds firm tone on Tuesday and rose to three-week high on bullish acceleration after upbeat German GDP data (Q3 GDP 0.8% vs 0.6% f/c/prev). Bullish signals were generated on advance through 20SMA (1.1674) and broken neckline (1.1685) for probes above 1.1700 handle towards 30SMA (1.1715) and 100SMA (1.1731).
Tuesday's calendar is full, with ECB President Draghi talking at 10:00GMT and a batch data from the Eurozone due at the same time.
German ZEW economic sentiment is forecasted to rise in November (20 f/c vs 17.6 in Oct); EU Q3 GDP is expected to stay unchanged at 2.5%; EU industrial production is forecasted to fall in September (-0.6% f/c vs 1.4% in Aug) while EU ZEW economic sentiment is forecasted at 29.3 in November vs 26.7 previous month.
Forecasted numbers look supportive overall and releases at/above consensus could send the single currency higher.
Lift above 100SMA target (1.1731) would open way towards 55SMA (1.1795) and daily cloud base (1.1815).
Rising hourly cloud (cloud is spanned between 1.1653 and 1.1636) and 10SMA (1.1636) continue to underpin the advance and violation of these supports would turn near-term structure negative.
Res: 1.1715; 1.1731; 1.1770; 1.1795
Sup: 1.1685; 1.1674; 1.1661; 1.1636
The information contained in this document was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Any opinions expressed herein are in good faith, but are subject to change without notice. No liability accepted whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from the use of this document.
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