|

EUR/USD: Τhe Euro again under question

The single European currency is under mild pressure as the inflation data announced yesterday for the German economy and the inflation data from France announced a little earlier show that efforts to combat inflationary pressures in EU are paying off and market are starting to put bets on the table for the prospect of the European Central Bank cutting key interest rates earlier than previously forecast.

In any case, the announcement on the path of inflation collectively in the eurozone which is expected shortly afterwards will give clearer signals and is capable of creating further scope for pressures on the European currency or abruptly changing the direction.

As I have mentioned repeatedly,  inflation and the two main central banks' interest rate levels continue to monopolize interest and remain the main catalysts affecting the exchange rate.

The common line of both central banks is the same as they continue to defend the motto that any decision and development on the path of key interest rates depends on the data.

Of course, we should not forget that the American economy continues to have a better pace than the European one, something that was also seen in yesterday's announcement, where the growth path of the US economy pleasantly surprised as it was above estimates.

If the upcoming announcements on the progress of the US labor sector show that it remains at good levels and the consumption sector does not decline I would see it difficult for the European currency to be able to continue the upward momentum of the last few days.

Today's agenda is extremely rich and if there are any surprises, intense volatility is expected.

In any case, I remain in my thoughts to buy the dollar at new highs as the temporary rise above 1,10 provided such an opportunity which I could not seize.

Author

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Independent Analyst

Vassilis Tsaprounis possesses over 25 years of professional experience in Capital Markets and especially in the foreign exchange market.

More from Vasilis Tsaprounis
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hovers around nine-day EMA above 1.1800

EUR/USD remains in the positive territory after registering modest gains in the previous session, trading around 1.1820 during the Asian hours on Monday. The 14-day Relative Strength Index momentum indicator at 54 is edging higher, signaling improving momentum. RSI near mid-50s keeps momentum balanced. A sustained push above 60 would firm bullish control.

GBP/USD holds medium-term bullish bias above 1.3600

The GBP/USD pair trades on a softer note around 1.3605 during the early European session on Monday. Growing expectation of the Bank of England’s interest-rate cut weighs on the Pound Sterling against the Greenback. 

Gold sticks to gains above $5,000 as China's buying and Fed rate-cut bets drive demand

Gold surges past the $5,000 psychological mark during the Asian session on Monday in reaction to the weekend data, showing that the People's Bank of China extended its buying spree for a 15th month in January. Moreover, dovish US Federal Reserve expectations and concerns about the central bank's independence drag the US Dollar lower for the second straight day, providing an additional boost to the non-yielding yellow metal. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate after massive sell-off

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices consolidated on Monday after correcting by nearly 9%, 8%, and 10% in the previous week, respectively. BTC is hovering around $70,000, while ETH and XRP are facing rejection at key levels.

Weekly column: Saturn-Neptune and the end of the Dollar’s 15-year bull cycle

Tariffs are not only inflationary for a nation but also risk undermining the trust and credibility that go hand in hand with the responsibility of being the leading nation in the free world and controlling the world’s reserve currency.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate after massive sell-off

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices consolidated on Monday after correcting by nearly 9%, 8%, and 10% in the previous week, respectively. BTC is hovering around $70,000, while ETH and XRP are facing rejection at key levels. Traders should be cautious: despite recent stabilization, upside recovery for these top three cryptocurrencies is capped as the broader trend remains bearish.