EUR/USD: The dollar remains under pressure

Trading recommendations

Sell ​​Stop 1.1115. Stop-Loss 1.1175. Objectives 1.1100, 1.1080, 1.1035, 1.1000, 1.0950, 1.0900, 1.0875, 1.0820, 1.0800, 1.0780

Buy Stop. Stop-Loss 1.1115. Objectives 1.1200, 1.1280. 1.1340

After four days of active growth against the background of the first weak inflation indices in the US for April, published last Friday, then mixed data on the dynamics of construction of new homes in the US and strong data on the foreign trade balance of the Eurozone, published on Tuesday, the pair EUR/USD reached today's new annual Maxima near the level of 1.1170.

The growth of the pair was promoted yesterday by another buzz around the US President Donald Trump. In the media yesterday, there were reports of Trump's alleged request to former FBI director James Komi to stop the investigation against Michael Flynn, who had previously served as adviser to the US president for national security. This news fueled the negative sentiment of Tramp's opponents after earlier reports that Trump allegedly handed over sensitive information about ISIS to Russian authorities, which could damage the national security of the United States. Against this background, yesterday, talk about possible impeachment of Trump increased.

Today, there is some recovery in the US dollar on the foreign exchange market, and the pair EUR/USD is declining. According to economists, under the sharp strengthening of the euro there is no fundamental basis. The EUR/USD is growing mainly against the background of the weakness of the dollar and the stabilization of the political situation in Europe after the election of the new president in France.

At any moment, the same strong downward correction may begin, as well as the growth of the EUR/USD pair, which has been observed for several days.

For today, the ECB Chairman Mario Draghi's speech is scheduled to begin at 17:00 (GMT). It is likely that he will again remind that the recovery of the economy in the Eurozone, according to the ECB, is not enough to start curtailing the program of monetary stimulus. Last week, Mario Draghi again noted that "it is still necessary to maintain the current very significant monetary stimulus for further growth" of the Eurozone economy.

The volatility in the EUR/USD pair may also grow today at the time of publication (11:30 GMT) of the report from the ECB's last meeting on monetary policy, and also at the beginning of the US trading session, when at 12:30 (GMT) the weekly report of the Ministry of Labor The number of new applications for unemployment benefits. The forecast is expected to grow to 240,000 versus 236,000 for the previous period, which should negatively affect the dollar.

At 5:15 pm, FOMC Fed Loretta Meister will perform. It will be interesting to hear what she thinks about the dynamics of the US macroeconomic, which recently come out with weaker indicators than expected, and about the escalating political situation in the US. As another representative of the Federal Reserve, Neil Kashkari, said yesterday, "financial stability is the key mission of the Fed."

Support levels: 1.1100, 1.1080, 1.1035, 1.1000, 1.0950, 1.0900, 1.0875, 1.0820, 1.0800, 1.0780

Resistance levels: 1.1156, 1.1170, 1.1200, 1.1280, 1.1340



EURUSD Current Trading Positions

Sell 48%
Buy 52%
Avg Sell Price 1.0999
Avg Buy Price 1.0960
Liquidity Distribution


Note: All information on this page is subject to change. The use of this website constitutes acceptance of our user agreement. Please read our privacy policy and legal disclaimer. Opinions expressed at are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of or its management. Risk Disclosure: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.