|

EUR/USD: '' Scalping '' trader's absolute joy

For the 6th day in a row the scenario remains the same with the pair locked in an extremely limited range of fluctuation either side of the 1,06 level.

The single European currency, even though it received some pressure yesterday and found itself retreating to the levels of 1,0570, it did not differentiate the last behavior and very soon reactedย  again above 1,06 level.

The behavior of the FX market on the EUR/USD pair over the last few days has provided an excellent environment for trading in a very tight range which is the extreme joy of range tradingย  ''scalping'' traders with an short time targets.

As we have already mentioned in the previous days the pair remains locked at the current levels and is having difficulty finding any direction as the US currency seems to gather some advantages to go on the counterattack and absorb a significant part of the last pressures but at the same time the latest hawkish rhetoric from the European Central Bank appears to be creating significant support for the euro.

Yesterday's pressures on the international stock markets which i expected and already noticed 2 days ago strengthened the dollar again as it received the benefits as a safe haven currency.

The announcement on the growth path of the US economy positively surprised the markets and now leaves open the possibility that Fed will return to more aggressive rhetoric as its great concern about a recession in the US economy seems to be limited.

On today's agenda stands out the announcement of the index for personal consumption expenditures in the United States as well as the durable goods orders which the central bank monitors with extreme interest as they significantly affect the inflation indicatorsย  and sometimes determines the Fed's decisions.ย 

As we have entered the last day of trading before the Christmas holidays the market remains confused struggling to find direction and the most likely scenario is that today will have a similar trading behavior as the last few days.

A possibly surprise in the announcements from the US economy later in the day combined with the very shallow market May be a decisive factor so that we see something different.

Once again yesterday's behavior of the pair confirmed the latest strategy to buy the US currency at every peak.

I see no significant reason for this strategy to change at present.

Author

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Independent Analyst

Vassilis Tsaprounis possesses over 25 years of professional experience in Capital Markets and especially in the foreign exchange market.

More from Vasilis Tsaprounis
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.