|

EUR/USD: Pressures on the Euro remain in play with the 1.0800 on risk of collapse

The single European currency remains under pressure and is now approaching the 1,08 level as in the wake of the Fed meeting the Powell's rhetoric created only temporary benefits for the European currency but the follow-up is very different.

The fact that the bets are concentrated on the three cuts in the key rates by Fed and the possibility of only 2 cuts has been removed for now does not change the fact that the interest rates of the US currency remain higher than the European ones, something that gives a slight edge to the US dollar with the prospect of seeing even lower prices in the exchange rate.

Yesterday's economic agenda was quite interesting but without any big surprises. The indicators for the manufacturing and service sectors in the Eurozone and the United States were announced close to the estimates, confirming that the American economy is at a clearly better level than the European one, which, however, shows signs of stability trying to avoid the risk of recession.

One of the biggest risks that remains on the table for the European currency is the high prices in the international stock markets as if there is any strong correction the American currency is expected to benefit further as it traditionally works as a safe haven currency.

I would give a not small probability to such a scenario as I believe that now the prices of the international stock markets are at quite high levels and to continue the same momentum for the next few months would be a big surprise. The difficult question is whether there will be a catalyst and who will be the one who will reverse the very good climate of the last months in the international stock markets.

On today's agenda, the announcement of the IFO institute on the business climate in Germany stands out, while there are some statements from Fed and ECB officials.

The possibility of the US dollar staying on the frontline and the 1,08 level collapsing remains on the table.

I have not strayed too far from my thinking of buying the European currency at much lower levels, maybe near to 1,0700 level or bellow this,  with the aim of one more good correction as  Euro's this ability has proven that remain on the table with very good fidelity.

Author

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Independent Analyst

Vassilis Tsaprounis possesses over 25 years of professional experience in Capital Markets and especially in the foreign exchange market.

More from Vasilis Tsaprounis
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances to the area of daily peaks north of the 1.1800 barrier at the end of the week. The pair’s decent move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the mild offered stance in the US Dollar.

GBP/USD trims losses, retests 1.3460

After briefly challenging its key 200-day SMA near 1.3440, GBP/USD now manages to regain some balance and revisit the 1.3460 zone on Friday. Cable’s pullback comes as the selling pressure on the Greenback gathers traction, reigniting some recovery in the risk-linked space.

Gold flirts with four-week highs past $5,200

Gold extends its rebound, climbing for a third consecutive session and pushing back above the $5,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The move higher continues to draw support from lingering geopolitical tensions and the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade policy, both of which are keeping safe-haven demand firmly in play.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary. 

Breaking: US and Israel attack Iran, risk aversion to sweep global markets

Early Saturday, United States (US) President Donald Trump announced that the US had begun “major combat operations” in Iran, following Israel’s pre-emptive missile attacks against Tehran.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.