EUR/USD outlook: Recovery is losing traction

Slobodan Drvenica Windsor Brokers

EUR/USD

EURUSD is trading within a narrow range during European session on Tuesday, following strong rebound in past two days after larger bears were rejected at key support at 1.0635 (May 31 low).

Technical picture remains increasingly bearish on daily chart (rising negative momentum / MA’s in full bearish setup) and warn that corrective action might be near its end (capped by daily Tenkan-sen).

Inflation in the Eurozone was slightly lower than expected in August, which should add pressure on the currency, though consumer prices are still over two times above ECB’s 2% target.

This keeps the central bank alerted, despite dovish signals from the last policy meeting, as the policymakers left the door opened for possible further hikes, should the situation deteriorate.

Near-term action can be described as consolidation while moving between 1.0700 (daily Tenkan-sen / psychological barrier) and 1.0635 support, with sustained break above 1.0700 to allow for stronger correction and expose upper pivots at 1.0768 (Sep 12 high) and 1.0792 (daily Kijun-sen).

Conversely, firm break of 1.0635 support would open way for test of next key supports at 1.0611 (Fibo 38.2% of 0.9535/1.1275 uptrend) and 1.0553 (daily Ichimoku cloud top).

Res: 1.0700; 1.0752; 1.0768; 1.0792.
Sup: 1.0675; 1.0654; 1.0635; 1.0611.

Interested in EUR/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

1. R3 1.0753
2. R2 1.0726
3. R1 1.0709
PP 1.0682
1. S1 1.0665
2. S2 1.0638
3. S3 1.0621

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

EUR/USD faces next resistance near 1.1930

EUR/USD has surrendered its earlier intraday advance on Thursday and is now hovering uncomfortably around the 1.1860 region amid modest gains in the US Dolla. Moving forward, markets are exoected to closely follow Friday’s release of US CPI data.

GBP/USD inching closer to 1.36

The Pound Sterling edged higher to 1.3640 on Thursday, recovering from an earlier pullback after stronger-than-expected US jobs data initially weighed on the pair. The Bank of England held rates at 3.75% at its February 4 meeting in a narrow 5-4 vote split, with four members preferring a 25 basis point cut to 3.50%.

Gold falls to near $4,900 as selling pressure intensifies

Gold price faces some selling pressure around $4,910 during the early Asian session on Friday. The yellow metal tumbles over 3.50% on the day, with algorithmic traders appearing to amplify the precious metal’s sudden drop. Traders will closely monitor the release of the US Consumer Price Index inflation report for January, which will be released later on Friday.

Ethereum investors face huge unrealized losses following price slump

US spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds flipped negative again on Wednesday after recording net outflows of $129.1 million, reversing mild inflows seen at the beginning of the week, per SoSoValue data. Fidelity's FETH was responsible for more than half of withdrawals, posting outflows of $67 million.

A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness

Undoubtedly, yesterday’s delayed US January jobs report delivered a strong headline – one that surpassed most estimates. However, optimism quickly faded amid sobering benchmark revisions.

Aster Price Forecast: Demand sparks on Binance Wallet partnership for on-chain perpetuals

Aster is up roughly 9% so far on Thursday, hinting at the breakout of a crucial resistance level. Aster partners up with Binance wallet for the second season of the on-chain perpetuals challenge.