|

EUR/USD outlook: Euro hits new 20-year low, on track for further losses

EUR/USD

The Euro returns to red on Friday and extends below 0.98 handle, to hit new 20-year low after bears paused previous day, due to Japan’s intervention in FX market to support yen that temporarily deflated the dollar.

Thursday’s action ended in Doji candle with long upper shadow, which signaled that the upside remains well protected and bearish pressure persists.

Strong dollar and darkened economic outlook for the Eurozone weigh on the single currency, along with signals that the Fed remains on track for further large rate hikes.

Daily studies in full bearish setup add to negative stance, as the pair focuses net target at 0.9607 (Sep 2002 low).

Former low at 0.9864 (Sep 6) reverted to initial resistance, followed by 0.9900 and falling 10/20DMA’s (0.9953/0.9968 respectively) which also created a bear-cross and add to bearish structure.

Today’s key events will be releases of PMI figures from Germany and EU, with forecasts showing lower levels in September compared to previous month in both sectors and the numbers remaining well below 50 threshold which divides growth from contraction that adds to Euro’s negative near-term outlook

Res: 0.9851; 0.9864; 0.9900; 0.9953.
Sup: 0.9769; 0.9736; 0.9700; 0.9657.

EURUSD

Interested in EUR/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 0.999
    2. R2 0.9949
    3. R1 0.989
  1. PP 0.9848
    1. S1 0.9789
    2. S2 0.9748
    3. S3 0.9689

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

More from Slobodan Drvenica
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD seems fragile below 1.1700 as Middle East war boosts energy prices

The EUR/USD pair trades flat at around 1.1680 during the Asian trading session on Tuesday, but broadly seems vulnerable, being close to its five-week low. The major currency pair is under pressure as surging oil prices due to the United States-Israel war with Iran have increased the risks of higher inflation for the Old Continent.

GBP/USD hovers around 1.3400 with bearish pressure intact

GBP/USD edges higher after three days of losses, trading around 1.3400 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bearish bias, as the pair trades within a descending channel pattern.

Gold sticks to gains above $5,350 amid sustained safe-haven demand; firmer USD caps gains

Gold sticks to its positive bias for the third straight day and trades above the $5,350 level heading into the European session on Tuesday. Concerns about a broader regional conflict in the Middle East continue to weigh on investors' sentiment and underpin demand for the traditional safe-haven bullion.

Stellar risks deeper losses as derivatives metrics turn negative

Stellar is trading red below $0.16 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight recovery the previous day. Weakening derivatives data caps the recovery, while an unfavorable technical outlook projects a deeper correction for the XLM token in the upcoming days.

The market is not panicking it is repricing the probability distribution of Oil and time

At the end of the day, markets do not trade morality or geopolitics. They trade transmission channels. And the only channel that truly matters in this maelstrom runs through the price of energy and the time value of money.

Hyperliquid Price Forecast: HYPE rises on commodities demand amid US-Iran war

Hyperliquid (HYPE) steadies above $33 at press time on Tuesday, marking its fourth consecutive day of recovery in a broadly volatile market due to the ongoing US-Israel strikes on Iran.