|

EUR/USD outlook: Bulls lose traction, eye key supports at 1.0800 zone

EUR/USD

EURUSD holds in red for the second straight day on Thursday and extends pullback from new highest level in more than five months.

Double rejection under Fibo resistance at 1.0969 (76.4% of 1.1214/1.0177 downtrend) and overbought studies on daily chart dented bulls, with fresh rise of dollar after hawkish remarks from Fed Powell, added pressure on the single currency.

However, the price action still holds within near-term consolidation range (1.0820/1.0954) and rather neutral mode should be expected if it remains within prolonged consolidation.

On the other hand, violation of pivotal 1.0820/00 zone (range floor / Fibo 23.6% of 1.0360/1.0954 / psychological) would generate initial reversal signal and open way for deeper correction.

Scenario is supported by south-heading momentum studies, although countered by converging 20/200DMA’s, on track to form golden-cross a7 1.0727, where 200DMA is reinforcing pivotal Fibo support (38.2% retracement of 1.0360/1.0954).

Res: 1.0880; 1.0903; 1.0954; 1.0969.
Sup: 1.0820; 1.0800; 1.0727; 1.0708.

Chart

Interested in EUR/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 1.1014
    2. R2 1.098
    3. R1 1.0928
  1. PP 1.0894
    1. S1 1.0842
    2. S2 1.0808
    3. S3 1.0756

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

More from Slobodan Drvenica
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD falls toward 1.1700 on broad USD recovery

EUR/USD turns south and declines toward 1.1700 on Wednesday. The US Dollar gathers recovery momentum and forces the pair to stay on the back foor, as traders look to USD short-covering ahead of US inflation report on Thursday. However, the downside could be capped by hawkish ECB expectations. 

GBP/USD trades deep in red below 1.3350 after soft UK inflation data

GBP/USD stays under strong selling pressure midweek and trades below 1.3350. The UK annual headline and core CPI rose by 3.2% each, missing estimates of 3.5% and 3.4%, respectively, reaffirming dovish BoE expectations and smashing the Pound Sterling across the board ahead of Thurday's BoE policy announcements. 

Gold clings to moderate daily gains above $4,300

Following Tuesday's volatile action, Gold regains its traction on Wednesday and trades in positive territory above $4,300. While the buildup in the USD recovery momentum caps XAU/USD's upside, the cautious market stance helps the pair hold its ground.

Bitcoin risks deeper correction as ETF outflows mount, derivative traders stay on the sidelines

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $87,000 on Wednesday, nearing a key support level. A decisive daily close below this zone could open the door to a deeper correction.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP slide further as risk-off sentiment deepens

Bitcoin faces extended pressure as institutional investors reduce their risk exposure. Ethereum’s upside capped at $3,000, weighed down by ETF outflows and bearish signals. XRP slides toward November’s support at $1.82 despite mild ETF inflows.