|

EUR/USD: Mild recovery for the Euro above 1.0750 level, but doubts remain on the table

The single European currency is trying to move away from recent lows at the level of 1,0730, but without a catalyst in sight that would re-fuel a strong upward momentum like that at the beginning of the month.

The exchange rate seems to maintain the pattern of the last two weeks where after the European currency peaked at a high of 1.0955, doubts about further rise have come to the table with the pair having already corrects more than 200 basis points.

President Donald Trump continues to monopolize interest with the ''tariffs dance'' remaining high on investors' agenda.

All analysts are trying to decipher the consequences of Donald Trump's policies, which, however, continue to surprise and the final imprint is certainly uncertain.

The general picture of the market remains the same without any major surprises and, apart from President Donald Trump, interest remains high in developments on the Ukrainian front and European politics, especially after the recent announcements of a gigantic increase in spending on infrastructure and defense.

Despite the optimism for a quick end to the tragedy on the Ukrainian front after and the latest deal for Black Sea trade between US and Russia there are still many thorns left until an irreversible ceasefire.

The European economy continues to be a concern and it is not certain when the positive effects of the defense and infrastructure support packages from the eurozone states will be seen in the real economy.

Today's agenda is quite full with the growth rate of the US economy, weekly unemployment claims and several statements by Fed and ECB officials, with those by President Lagarde standing out.

No changes in my thoughts, i  continue to have my doubts about how the European currency could re-fuel a strong bullish cycle and I would give good odds to the scenario where the exchange will  rate remains ''heavy'' without any significant direction at the moment.

Author

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Independent Analyst

Vassilis Tsaprounis possesses over 25 years of professional experience in Capital Markets and especially in the foreign exchange market.

More from Vasilis Tsaprounis
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).