EUR/USD Forecast: Dollar picks up as Treasury yields resume advance

Valeria Bednarik FXStreet

EUR/USD Current Price: 1.2050

ECB reportedly said to see no need for drastic action to combat rising bond yields.
Markit reported that services output decline for a sixth consecutive month in the EU.
EUR/USD is under selling pressure and could pierce the 1.2000 figure.

The EUR/USD pair reached 1.2112 but is quickly retreating ahead of the US opening, with the dollar once again founding demand amid higher government bond yields. The pair hit the mentioned daily high after news made the rounds, indicating that the ECB reportedly said that they see no need for drastic action to combat rising bond yields. The same headline boosted US Treasury yields to fresh weekly highs, with that on the 10-year note at fresh weekly highs around 1.47%.

Markit published the February final Services PMIs for the euro area, which showed that output in the sector remained in contraction territory, declining for the sixth consecutive month. The German index was downwardly revised to 45.7, although the final EU figure printed at 45.7, slightly better than previously estimated.

The US has just published the ADP survey on private jobs creation. The report showed that 117K positions were added in February, below the expected 177K. January reading was upwardly revised to 195K from 174K. Markit will also publish the US Services PMI, foreseen at 58.9, while the country will release the official ISM services index, expected at 58.7.

EUR/USD short-term technical outlook

The EUR/USD pair trades in the 1.2050 price zone, poised to extend its decline. The 4-hour chart shows that it met sellers around its 100 and 200 SMA, now back below a bearish 20 SMA. Technical indicators turned south and are back within negative levels indicating increased bearish interest. Further declines are to be expected on a break below 1.2015, the immediate support.

Support levels: 1.2015 1.1970 1.1920

Resistance levels: 1.2065 1.2100 1.2145

View Live Chart for the EUR/USD

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Author

Valeria Bednarik

FXStreet

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

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