|

EUR/USD: Battle at 1.0600 level as Euro struggles to react

The European single currency slips slightly below 1,06 level for the second time in the last 24 hours as the US currency continues to be in the spotlight.

The European currency is really struggling to limit its losses as the reaction from yesterday afternoon when it again fell marginally below 1,06 was very limited and has so far failed to extent the correction.

Yesterday's agenda did not give any surprises, the data on the European economy that were announced kept the concerns on the table while on the other side of the Atlantic various statements by Fed officials kept the familiar rhetoric.

Υields on US government debt securities remain at high levels, which further supports the US currency, but showing some signs of stabilization.

10-year notes, which act as a barometer for yield levels, are trading near 4,43 down slightly from 4,48 level a few days earlier.

I maintain the view that current levels are quite high and we are likely to see further tapering relatively soon which could act as a catalyst for the European currency to find cause for correction.

The aftermath of the Presidential elections in US and the triumph of Donald Trump alongside with the political developments in Germany remain high on the agenda, negatively affecting the European currency.

No changes in bets on interest rates outlook as some good chance for 25 basis points cut from Fed in December remains on the table while the landscape is relatively cloudier from the European Central Bank side.

Today's agenda is monopolized by US with the consumer price inflation index standing out  as there is nothing of substance on the Old Continent. 

Τhe European currency although it is in the corner seems to be fighting for the critical level of 1.06 and despite the small retreat below it, the level is not considered to have collapsed yet.

I continue to maintain a conservative approach and although I feel that signs of a reaction of the European currency will appear on the table soon I prefer to remain on hold.

Author

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Independent Analyst

Vassilis Tsaprounis possesses over 25 years of professional experience in Capital Markets and especially in the foreign exchange market.

More from Vasilis Tsaprounis
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to small gains near 1.1750

Following a short-lasting correction in the early European session, EUR/USD regains its traction and clings to moderate gains at around 1.1750 on Monday. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low, with investors awaiting this weeks key data releases from the US and the ECB policy announcements.

GBP/USD remains confined in a range above mid-1.3300s ahead of UK jobs report

The GBP/USD pair extends its sideways consolidative price move through the Asian session on Tuesday and currently trades around the 1.3370-1.3365 region, nearly unchanged for the day. Traders seem reluctant and opt to wait for this week's important macro releases and the key central bank event risk before placing fresh directional bets.

Gold defends $4,300 as focus shifts to US NFP, PMI data

Gold price holds the $4,300 level, easing from the highest since October 21 in the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal stays afloat on further US Federal Reserve rate cut bets. The US Nonfarm Payrolls report will take center stage later on Tuesday. Also, the US Retail Sales and Purchasing Managers Index will be published. 

Top Crypto Losers: Aster, Midnight, and Ethena extend losses as selling pressure mounts

Aster, Midnight, and Ethena are the altcoins with the most losses over the last 24 hours, as the broader cryptocurrency market weakens amid Bitcoin dropping below $86,000.

NFP preview: Complex data release will determine if Fed was right to cut rates

The long wait is over, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the US will release nonfarm payrolls reports for both November and October at 1330 GMT on Tuesday. The overall NFP figure for October is expected to be -10k, however, it is expected to be influenced by a massive 130k drop in federal department workers. 

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.