|

EUR/USD: Battle at 1.0600 level as Euro struggles to react

The European single currency slips slightly below 1,06 level for the second time in the last 24 hours as the US currency continues to be in the spotlight.

The European currency is really struggling to limit its losses as the reaction from yesterday afternoon when it again fell marginally below 1,06 was very limited and has so far failed to extent the correction.

Yesterday's agenda did not give any surprises, the data on the European economy that were announced kept the concerns on the table while on the other side of the Atlantic various statements by Fed officials kept the familiar rhetoric.

Υields on US government debt securities remain at high levels, which further supports the US currency, but showing some signs of stabilization.

10-year notes, which act as a barometer for yield levels, are trading near 4,43 down slightly from 4,48 level a few days earlier.

I maintain the view that current levels are quite high and we are likely to see further tapering relatively soon which could act as a catalyst for the European currency to find cause for correction.

The aftermath of the Presidential elections in US and the triumph of Donald Trump alongside with the political developments in Germany remain high on the agenda, negatively affecting the European currency.

No changes in bets on interest rates outlook as some good chance for 25 basis points cut from Fed in December remains on the table while the landscape is relatively cloudier from the European Central Bank side.

Today's agenda is monopolized by US with the consumer price inflation index standing out  as there is nothing of substance on the Old Continent. 

Τhe European currency although it is in the corner seems to be fighting for the critical level of 1.06 and despite the small retreat below it, the level is not considered to have collapsed yet.

I continue to maintain a conservative approach and although I feel that signs of a reaction of the European currency will appear on the table soon I prefer to remain on hold.

Author

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Independent Analyst

Vassilis Tsaprounis possesses over 25 years of professional experience in Capital Markets and especially in the foreign exchange market.

More from Vasilis Tsaprounis
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs toward 1.1800 on broad USD weakness

EUR/USD gathers bullish momentum and advances toward 1.1800 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar weakens and helps the pair stretch higher after the employment report showed that Nonfarm Payrolls declined by 105,000 in October before rising by 64,000 in November.

GBP/USD climbs to fresh two-month high above 1.3400

GBP/USD gains traction in the American session and trades at its highest level since mid-October above 1.3430. The British Pound benefits from upbeat PMI data, while the US Dollar struggles to find demand following the mixed employment figures and weaker-than-forecast PMI prints, allowing the pair to march north.

Gold extends its consolidative phase around $4,300

Gold trades in positive above $4,300 after spending the first half of the day under bearish pressure. XAU/USD capitalizes on renewed USD weakness after the jobs report showed that the Unemployment Rate climbed to 4.6% in November and the PMI data revealed a loss of growth momentum in the private sector in December. 

US Retail Sales virtually unchanged at $732.6 billion in October

Retail Sales in the United States were virtually unchanged at $732.6 billion in October, the US Census Bureau reported on Tuesday. This print followed the 0.1% increase (revised from 0.3%) recorded in September and came in below the market expectation of +0.1%.

Ukraine-Russia in the spotlight once again

Since the start of the week, gold’s price has moved lower, but has yet to erase the gains made last week. In today’s report we intend to focus on the newest round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, whilst noting the release of the US Employment data later on day and end our report with an update in regards to the tensions brewing in Venezuela.

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.