|

EUR/USD: A bearish impulse is needed to complete the primary wave Ⓧ

The EURUSD currency pair seems to be forming a large corrective wave within the global impulse trend. Cycle correction IV, most likely, takes the form of a primary double zigzag Ⓦ-Ⓧ-Ⓨ.

EURUSD

The first actionary leg Ⓦ is completed in the form of a simple zigzag (A)-(B)-(C). A bearish intervening wave Ⓧ may be in the development stage now. It is also similar to the standard zigzag (A)-(B)-(C), which requires the last impulse sub-wave (C) to complete.

It is assumed that the price, along with impulse (C) going down, may fall to the 1.007 mark. At that level, impulse (C) will be at 123.6% of first impulse (A).

EURUSD

An alternative scenario suggests that the primary intervening wave Ⓧ will be short and perhaps it is already fully completed in the form of a zigzag (A)-(B)-(C).

Thus, the last upward movement of the price may indicate that the development of a new actionary wave Ⓨ has begun. Like the primary sub-waves Ⓦ and Ⓧ, the wave Ⓨ can take a zigzag shape (A)-(B)-(C), as shown in the chart.

There is a high probability that the first intermediate wave (A) will end near the February maximum, that is, at 1.149.

Author

Jing Ren

Jing-Ren has extensive experience in currency and commodities trading. He began his career in metal sales and trading at Societe Generale in London.

More from Jing Ren
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, hovers around 1.1900 post-US data

EUR/USD trades slightly on the back foot around the 1.1900 region in a context dominated by the resurgence of some buying interest around the US Dollar on turnaround Tuesday. Looking at the US docket, Retail Sales disappointed expectations in December, while the ADP 4-Week Average came in at 6.5K.

GBP/USD comes under pressure near 1.3680

The better tone in the Greenback hurts the risk-linked complex on Tuesday, prompting GBP/USD to set aside two consecutive days of gains and trade slightly on the defensive below the 1.3700 mark. Investors, in the meantime, keep their attention on key UK data due later in the week.

Gold loses some traction, still above $5,000

Gold faces some selling pressure on Tuesday, surrendering part of its recent two-day advance although managing to keep the trade above the $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The daily pullback in the precious metal comes in response to the modest rebound in the US Dollar, while declining US Treasury yields across the curve seem to limit the downside.

Bitcoin Cash trades lower, risks dead-cat bounce amid bearish signals

Bitcoin Cash trades in the red below $522 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after multiple rejections at key resistance. BCH’s derivatives and on-chain indicators point to growing bearish sentiment and raise the risk of a dead-cat bounce toward lower support levels.

Dollar drops and stocks rally: The week of reckoning for US economic data

Following a sizeable move lower in US technology Stocks last week, we have witnessed a meaningful recovery unfold. The USD Index is in a concerning position; the monthly price continues to hold the south channel support.

Bitcoin Cash trades lower, risks dead-cat bounce amid bearish signals

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) trades in the red below $522 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after multiple rejections at key resistance. BCH’s derivatives and on-chain indicators point to growing bearish sentiment and raise the risk of a dead-cat bounce toward lower support levels.