EUR/CHF: Slight recovery after reaching 1.20

Peter A Rosenstreich Swissquote Bank Ltd

EUR/GBP

Continued rise.

EUR/GBP bullish momentum started from 0.8644 continues, trading at 0.8783 and heading along the 0.8785 range. EUR/GBP bearish pattern started in March is somewhat weakened. Hourly support and resistance are given at 0.8621 (17/04/2018 low) and 0.8834 (14/12/2018 high). The technical structure suggests further short-term increase.
In the long-term, the pair has largely recovered from 2015 lows. The technical structure suggests further upside pressure. Strong resistance can be found at 0.9500 (psychological level) while support remains at 0.8304 (05/12/2016 low). The pair is trading below its 200 DMA.

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EUR/CHF

Slight recovery after reaching 1.20.

EUR/CHF bullish momentum pauses below the 1.20, slightly recovering and heading along the 1.20 range. Strong resistance above 1.205 remains. Hourly support given at 1.1842 (11/04/2018 low) is distanced. The short-term technical structure suggests short-term sideways trading moves.
In the longer term, the technical structure has reversed. Strong resistance at 1.20 (level before the unpeg) is now at reach. The ECB's slowing QE program is likely to cause buying pressures on the euro, which should weigh in favour of the EUR/CHF. Support and resistance can be found at 1.0624 (24/06/2016 low) and 1.2097 (18/12/2014 high).

Author

Peter A Rosenstreich

Swissquote Bank Ltd

Peter Rosenstreich is Swissquote Bank’s Head of Market Strategy and manages the global strategy desk; he has held various positions in several banking institutions in the United States, Europe & Asia.

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